TY  - JOUR
U1  - Zeitschriftenartikel, wissenschaftlich - begutachtet (reviewed)
A1  - Elzen, Michel G. J. den
A1  - Höhne, Niklas
A1  - Brouns, Bernd
A1  - Winkler, Harald
A1  - Ott, Hermann E.
T1  - Differentiation of countries' future commitments in a post-2012 climate regime : an assessment of the "South North Dialogue" proposal
N2  - The "South-North Dialogue" Proposal, developed by researchers from developing and industrialised countries, outlined equitable approaches to mitigation. These approaches were based on the criteria of responsibility, capability and potential to mitigate, and include deep cuts in industrialised (Annex I) countries and differentiated mitigation commitments for developing countries. This paper quantitatively analyses the implications of the proposal for countries' emissions and costs. The analysis focuses on a "political willingness" scenario and four stabilisation scenarios. The analysis shows that stringent stabilisation targets imply that many developing countries would have to take on quantitative mitigation obligations by 2030, even when the Annex I countries take on ambitious mitigation commitments far beyond the Kyoto obligations. The "political willingness scenario" will probably not suffice to limit a warming of the Earth's atmosphere to below 2 °C.
T2  - Environmental science & policy
VL  - 10
Y1  - 2007
U6  - https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2006.10.009
DO  - https://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.envsci.2006.10.009
IS  - 3
SP  - 185
EP  - 203
ER  -