@article{BrandMissaoui2014, author = {Brand, Bernhard and Missaoui, Rafik}, title = {Multi-criteria analysis of electricity generation mix scenarios in Tunisia}, journal = {Renewable and sustainable energy reviews}, volume = {39}, doi = {10.1016/j.rser.2014.07.069}, url = {http://nbn-resolving.de/urn:nbn:de:bsz:wup4-opus-55227}, pages = {251 -- 261}, year = {2014}, abstract = {The diversification of the national electricity generation mix has risen to the top of Tunisia's energy planning agenda. Presently, natural gas provides 96\% of the primary energy for electric power generation, but declining domestic gas reserves and a soaring electricity demand are urgently calling for alternative fuel strategies. Currently discussed diversification options include the introduction of coal and nuclear power plants and/or an increased use of renewable energies. This article presents a methodology to assess different electricity system transformation strategies. By combining an electricity market model with a subsequent multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA), we evaluate five power mix scenarios regarding power generation costs as well as non-economic dimensions such as energy security, environmental impact and social welfare effects. Based on criteria valuations obtained during consultations with Tunisian stakeholders, a final, best-ranking electricity scenario was selected, consisting of 15\% wind, 15\% solar and 70\% natural gas-generated electricity in the national power mix by 2030.}, language = {en} }