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Scaling-up energy sufficiency on a European level through a bottom-up modelling approach : lessons and perspectives

  • The unprecedented challenge of reaching carbon neutrality before mid-century and a large share of it within 2030 in order to keep under the 1.5 or 2 °C carbon budgets, requires broad and deep changes in production and consumption patterns which, together with a shift to renewables and reinforced efficiency, need to be addressed through energy sufficiency. However, inadequate representations and obstacles to characterising and identifying sufficiency potentials often lead to an underrepresentation of sufficiency in models, scenarios and policies. One way to tackle this issue is to work on the development of sufficiency assumptions at a concrete level where various implications such as social consequences, environmental co-benefits,The unprecedented challenge of reaching carbon neutrality before mid-century and a large share of it within 2030 in order to keep under the 1.5 or 2 °C carbon budgets, requires broad and deep changes in production and consumption patterns which, together with a shift to renewables and reinforced efficiency, need to be addressed through energy sufficiency. However, inadequate representations and obstacles to characterising and identifying sufficiency potentials often lead to an underrepresentation of sufficiency in models, scenarios and policies. One way to tackle this issue is to work on the development of sufficiency assumptions at a concrete level where various implications such as social consequences, environmental co-benefits, conditions for implementation can be discussed. This approach has been developed as the backbone of a collaborative project, gathering partners in 20 European countries at present, aiming for the integration of harmonised national scenarios into an ambitious net-zero European vision. The approach combines a qualitative discussion on the role of energy sufficiency in a "systemic" merit order for global sustainability, and a quantitative discussion of the level of sufficiency to be set to contribute to meeting 100 % renewables supply and net-zero emissions goals by 2050 at the latest. The latter is based on the use of a dashboard, which serves as a common descriptive framework for all national scenario trajectories and their comparison, with a view to harmonising and strengthening them through an iterative process. A set of key sufficiency-related indicators have been selected to be included in the dashboard, while various interrelated infrastructural, economic, environmental, social or legal factors or drivers have been identified and mapped. This paves the way for strengthening assumptions through the elaboration of "sufficiency corridors" defining a convergent, acceptable and sustainable level of energy services in Europe. The process will eventually inform the potential for sufficiency policies through a better identification of leverages, impacts and co-benefits.show moreshow less

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Metadaten
Document Type:Conference Object
Author:Yves Marignac, Stephane Bourgeois, Mathilde Djelali, Nicolas Taillard, Janis Brizga, Marta Garcia, Radu Dudau, Luisa Cordroch, Dimitri Lalas, Yves Marenne, Gunnar Boye Olesen, Philippe Bovet, Yannis Sarafidis, Silvia Erba, Lorenzo Pagliano, Léo Coppens, Benjamin Best, Johannes ThemaORCiD, Francisco Ferreira
URN (citable link):https://nbn-resolving.org/urn:nbn:de:bsz:wup4-opus-78530
Publisher:European Council for an Energy Efficient Economy
Place of publication:Stockholm
Year of Publication:2021
Language:English
Source Title (English):A new reality : ECEEE 2021 Summer Study ; 7-11 June 2021, digital event ; proceedings
First Page:113
Last Page:128
Divisions:Zukünftige Energie- und Industriesysteme
Energie-, Verkehrs- und Klimapolitik
Dewey Decimal Classification:320 Politik
Licence:License LogoIn Copyright - Urheberrechtlich geschützt