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Im Forschungsprojekt "Landscaping" untersuchte das Wuppertal Institut die für Nordrhein-Westfalen aus heutiger Sicht denkbaren Technologieansätze, die dafür nötigen politischen Rahmenbedingungen sowie mögliche Innovationen entlang der Wertschöpfungsketten. Bestandteil des Berichts sind Steckbriefe, in denen die möglichen Technologien für treibhausgasneutrale Industrieprozesse samt offener Forschungsfragen und Infrastrukturbedarfe dargestellt sind. Das Projekt entstand im Auftrag des Ministeriums für Wirtschaft, Innovation, Digitalisierung und Energie des Landes Nordrhein-Westfalen.
Comprehensive framework on asset management of transportation networks and resilience planning
(2018)
The objective of this paper is to analyse and make recommendations on a safeguard system for Article 6 that aims at preventing potential harm that mitigation activities may cause on the ground to local stakeholders and the environment. Following some definitory aspects of what and how to safeguard, the paper analyses a number of safeguard systems and do no harm principles as well as tools to implement them. It then gives an overview on Parties' views on the matter, as uttered in their latest submissions on Art. 6 options, as well as an overview of the references in the UNFCCC's SBSTA Chair's text with respect to sustainable development, safeguards, and human rights issues. The paper closes with recommendations on a possible safeguard system for Article 6.
Technologiebericht 4.3 Power-to-liquids/-chemicals innerhalb des Forschungsprojekts TF_Energiewende
(2018)
Die Umweltauswirkungen von Teil-, Miet- oder Tauschangeboten aus dem Bereich der Sharing Economy werden zumeist aus einer Nachhaltigkeitsperspektive betrachtet und dementsprechend mit einer Verminderung des Ressourcenverbrauchs sowie einer gesteigerten Ressourceneffizienz verbunden. Handelt es sich bei Sharing Economy tatsächlich um eine ressourcenschonende, energieeffiziente und für den "Massenmarkt" geeignete Konsumalternative oder haben wir es vielmehr mit einer kurzzeitigen Nischeninnovation einzelner Lifestyle-Communities zu tun?
The production of commodities by energy-intensive industry is responsible for 1/3 of annual global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. The climate goal of the Paris Agreement, to hold the increase in the global average temperature to well below 2 °C above pre-industrial levels while pursuing efforts to limit the temperature increase to 1.5 °C, requires global GHG emissions reach net-zero and probably negative by 2055-2080. Given the average economic lifetime of industrial facilities is 20 years or more, this indicates all new investment must be net-zero emitting by 2035-2060 or be compensated by negative emissions to guarantee GHG-neutrality. We argue, based on a sample portfolio of emerging and near-commercial technologies for each sector (largely based on zero carbon electricity & heat sources, biomass and carbon capture, and catalogued in an accompanying database), that reducing energy-intensive industrial GHG emissions to Paris Agreement compatible levels may not only be technically possible, but can be achieved with sufficient prioritization and policy effort. We then review policy options to drive innovation and investment in these technologies. From this we synthesize a preliminary integrated strategy for a managed transition with minimum stranded assets, unemployment, and social trauma that recognizes the competitive and globally traded nature of commodity production. The strategy includes: an initial policy commitment followed by a national and sectoral stakeholder driven pathway process to build commitment and identify opportunities based on local zero carbon resources; penetration of near-commercial technologies through increasing valuation of GHG material intensity through GHG pricing or flexible regulations with protection for competitiveness and against carbon leakage; research and demand support for the output of pilot plants, including some combination of guaranteed above-market prices that decline with output and an increasing requirement for low carbon inputs in government procurement; and finally, key supporting institutions.
Ziel dieses Berichts im Rahmen des Projekts "Erfolgsbedingungen für Systemsprünge und Leitbilder einer Ressourcenleichten Gesellschaft" ist es, eine solche Ressourcenleichte Gesellschaft zu definieren. Hierzu wird zunächst der Rahmen für eine Ressourcenleichte Gesellschaft durch Aufbereitung der relevanten Diskurse bestimmt. Kapitel 1 zeichnet die zeitgeschichtliche Entwicklung des ressourcenbezogenen Nachhaltigkeitsdiskurses von 1972 bis in die Gegenwart nach. Aus dieser Analyse werden relevante Gesichtspunkte für eine Ressourcenleichte Gesellschaft identifiziert und am Ende des Kapitels in einer Übersicht dargestellt. Das zweite Kapitel entwickelt darauf aufbauend den bereits genannten definitorischen Rahmen, d.h. es erfolgt eine grundsätzliche Erarbeitung der normativen Kriterien, die eine solche Gesellschaft ausmachen sollte. Kapitel 3 skizziert dann existierende Zugänge zur Ressourcenleichten Gesellschaft und zeigt wichtige Merkmale dieser Ansätze auf, welche zur Entwicklung der Ressourcenleichten Gesellschaft durch Kontrastierung oder Übernahme von Merkmalen beitragen können.
Der vorliegende Bericht fasst die Inhalte des Projekts "Erfolgsbedingungen für Systemsprünge und Leitbilder einer Ressourcenleichten Gesellschaft" im Überblick zusammen und diskutiert diese. Er stellt damit den ersten Band der Berichte zu diesem Projekt dar. Nach einer Einführung wird die Ressourcenleichte Gesellschaft als ressourcenschonende, weitgehend dematerialisierte Gesellschaft mit hoher Lebensqualität definiert. Es folgt eine Vorstellung der Methodik bei der Leitbildentwicklung und die Skizzierung der Leitbilder selbst. Daraufhin werden die Ergebnisse von Diskussionen zu den Leitbildern mit Expertinnen und Experten in sogenannten Stakeholder-Workshops auf der einen Seite sowie mit Vertreterinnen und Vertretern der verschiedenen sozialen Milieus in Fokusgruppen und einer moderierten Online Community auf der anderen Seite dargestellt.
Stadtwerke spielen für die Energiewende eine zentrale Rolle. Zum einen stellen sie in Deutschland weit über die Hälfte der Versorgung an Strom, Gas und Wärme sicher, zum anderen haben Stadtwerke aufgrund ihrer kommunalen Verankerung eine besondere Position im Spannungsgefüge von Politik, Wirtschaft und Privathaushalten. Wenn es aber um die Frage geht, was den Erfolg von neugegründeten Stadtwerken ausmacht, besteht in der Literatur in gewissem Maße eine Forschungslücke.
Die vorliegende Studie, die vom Wuppertal Institut und der BLUBERRIES GmbH gemeinsam erstellt wurde, behandelt ausgewählte Handlungsfelder, bei denen ein Einfluss auf den Unternehmenserfolg von neugegründeten Stadtwerken zu vermuten ist. Dabei werden als Rahmen die Ziele der Rekommunalisierung herangezogen und konkret vier Handlungsfelder in den Vordergrund gerückt. Der Fokus der Studie liegt auf Fragestellungen nach dem wirtschaftlichen Erfolg neugegründeter Stadtwerke sowie deren Zielerreichung. Dabei wird auf den klassischen Ansatz der Erfolgsfaktorenforschung zurückgegriffen. Ziel dieser Studie ist die Formulierung erster Aussagen darüber, wie einerseits die unterstellten Handlungsfelder in ihrer Ausgestaltung, andererseits die Erfolgsmaße durch neugegründete Stadtwerke beurteilt werden.
Aufgrund der im Rahmen dieser Untersuchung vorgenommenen Online-Befragung lassen sich für die in den Focus genommenen vier Handlungsfelder (Kooperationen, Digitalisierung, Resilienz und Soziale Verantwortung) die wichtigsten Ergebnisse wie folgt zusammenfassen:
Kooperationen und verschiedene Formen der Zusammenarbeit in der Gründungsphase spielen für den Erfolg neu gegründeter Stadtwerke eine sehr große Rolle. Neu gegründete Stadtwerke legen meist großen Wert auf nachhaltige Geschäftsbeziehungen zu örtlichen Unternehmen, was einen wesentlichen Beitrag zum Public Value darstellt. Insbesondere gut ausgearbeitete Geschäftsstrategien in den Bereichen Erneuerbare Energien, Verteilnetzbetrieb, Vertrieb und Diversifikation unterstützen die Umsetzung der Unternehmensziele in Bezug auf Resilienz und Nachhaltigkeit. Die eher durchschnittliche Bewertung der Resilienz-Relevanz für den Ausbau eines Smart Grids im Verteilnetzbereich ist ein Indiz dafür, dass der Ordnungsrahmen so geändert werden müsste, dass Investitionen in diesem Bereich attraktiver werden.
Aufgrund des explorativen Charakters der vorgelegten Studie, der keine repräsentativen Aussagen über die Erfolgsfaktoren von neugegründeten Stadtwerken zulässt, werden folgende vier Hypothesen abgeleitet:
1. Der Einsatz von horizontal-kooperativen Ansätzen in der Gründungsphase als ein spezifisches Wesensmerkmal der deutschen Stadtwerkelandschaft hat positive Auswirkungen auf die Verbesserung des wirtschaftlichen Erfolgs und der Rentabilität.
2. Der Fokus auf Resilienz, Nachhaltigkeit und Klimaschutz als zentrale Werte des Stadtwerks und als integrale Bestandteile des Unternehmensleitbildes unterstützt die Erreichung der strategischen Ziele des neugegründeten Stadtwerks.
3. Das Anbieten von Smart Metern zur Erhöhung der Kundentransparenz, zur Verbesserung des Kundennutzens und zur Optimierung des Verteilnetzmanagements kann als Erfolgsfaktor eingestuft werden und unterstützt seitens der Stadtwerke eine positive Unternehmensentwicklung nicht nur in der Startphase.
4. Die explizite Wahrnehmung von sozialer Verantwortung wirkt sich positiv auf den Unternehmenserfolg aus.
Es müsste nun anschließend auf der Basis einer größeren Grundgesamtheit geprüft werden, ob und inwieweit die beschriebenen Tendenzen (die sich aus der Online-Befragung ergeben) und die explorativen Hypothesen im Rahmen eines konfirmatorischen Untersuchungsansatzes wissenschaftlich verifiziert werden können.
Mit dem Auslaufen vieler Konzessionsverträge im Strom- und Gasbereich auf der örtlichen Verteilnetzebene sind in Deutschland zahlreiche neue Stadtwerke entstanden. Die Bestandsaufnahmen der Autoren zeigen einen eindrucksvollen Sachstand: Durch Gründung von insgesamt 152 neuen Stadt-, Gemeinde- und Regionalwerken haben zahlreiche Kommunen zwischen 2005 und 2016 die Chance ergriffen, ihre Energieversorgung künftig mit eigenen Unternehmen stärker selbst gestalten zu wollen. Doch zum Ende dieser Periode lässt dieser Trend in Deutschland merklich nach. International hingegen mehren sich die Fälle kommunalwirtschaftlichen Engagements. Selbst im Mutterland des Kapitalismus, den USA, gibt es eine starke Bewegung zur Gründung von Stadtwerken. Insbesondere in den Kommunen werden die Auswirkungen verfehlter Privatisierungspolitik deutlich. Hier zeigten sich die negativen Auswirkungen einer am Shareholder Value ausgerichteten Versorgung am deutlichsten. Deshalb wird dort zunehmend nach Lösungen gesucht, die den Public Value steigern, dabei die Gemeinwohlinteressen der Kommunen in den Vordergrund stellen und die Qualität von Serviceleistungen der Daseinsvorsorge nachhaltig verbessern.
Vorteil Stadtwerke
(2018)
Die Modellierungs-Studie "Reparaturkosten-Empfehlung" wurde vom Wuppertal Institut im Auftrag der Verbraucherzentrale Nordrhein-Westfalen erstellt. Die Studie zielt auf die Berechnung von maximalen Reparaturkosten, die für eine Reparatur aus finanzieller Sicht sinnvoll für Verbraucherinnen und Verbraucher sind. Zusätzlich wird die ökologische Vorteilhaftigkeit von Reparaturen beispielhaft diskutiert.
The concept of multiple (economic, ecological, social and political) crisis has arisen from recent tumultuous economic events. This paper uses a feminist perspective to present the concept as a crisis of regeneration of both nature and social reproduction. We intend to go beyond multiple crisis using the notion of a new social contract, to overcome this crisis in a transformative way towards sustainability. A feminist analysis of the concept of social contract is founded on the critique of domination and is based on Carole Pateman's, 1988 thesis that the modern social contract is characterized by a "separating inclusion" of women. It also refers to Val Plumwood's critique of the separated and autonomous self, which is part of all classical conceptions of social contract. We argue that overcoming the multiple crisis requires overcoming structures of separation and re-envisioning concepts of the individual, by discussing the German example of a "Social Contract for Sustainability" (2011). If the notion of social contract is to become a catalyst for transformation processes leading to sustainability, it cannot be overarching but has to be developed as a multitude of small new social and local contracts.
Externalisierung 4.0? : Von der wirkmächtigen Erzählung Industrie 4.0 und ihren Schattenseiten
(2018)
Anna Bliesner-Steckmann stellt sich der Frage, wie Bildung respektive Didaktik beschaffen sein muss, damit ein moralisch-nachhaltiges Handeln nicht in eine normative Pädagogik mündet. Die Autorin stellt dazu den selbstaufgeklärten, mündigen Lernenden in den Fokus ihrer Arbeit und weist nach, dass es neben einer lerntheoretischen auch einer handlungstheoretischen Grundlegung auf psychologischer Basis bedarf. Ein zentrales Ergebnis ihrer interdisziplinären Studie ist das entwickelte Prozessmodell zu moralisch-nachhaltigem Urteilen und Handeln, aus welchem sich konkrete Hinweise für die Gestaltung pädagogischer Interventionen ableiten lassen.
The implications of how climate funds conceptualize transformational change in developing countries
(2018)
The search for globally coordinated mitigation strategies that could contribute effectively towards bridging the gap between current emissions reduction efforts and a rapidly closing 2°C climate target remains contentious. The participation of developing countries through Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs) is emerging as a crucial feature to attain this goal. Against this background, two of the major NAMA funding agencies have embraced "transformational change (TC)" and "paradigm shifts" as policy concepts. Yet, their operationalization within aid management approaches has not been fully justified. Concurrently, academic interest in theories of sustainability transitions has been growing, out of which the Transition Management (TM) approach provides the theoretical inspiration to study, and eventually promote, systemic TCs. However, there is still limited knowledge with which to contextualize the steering of such transitions to different settings. This article engages in these debates by reviewing the theoretical grounding behind the Green Climate Fund and the NAMA Facility's conceptualizations of TC through NAMA interventions against the corresponding theoretical assumptions of TM. Based on a critical review of relevant literature, it is argued that the logical framework-based approach adopted by the funds contains implicit assumptions of causality, which do not adequately cater for the uncertainties, non-linearity and feedback loops inherent in transition processes. The incorporation of more adaptive and reflexive elements is proposed as an alternative. This paper contributes to existing knowledge by critically reflecting on the applicability of TM towards governing sociotechnical transitions in the developing world and by exposing the limitations behind the current thinking underpinning NAMA funding. In conclusion, the systems perspective adopted in sustainability transition theories is thus recommended as a more rewarding approach towards understanding how attempts at transforming paradigms through support to climate policies and actions in developing countries are played out.
Technologiebericht 4.1 Power-to-gas (Wasserstoff) innerhalb des Forschungsprojekts TF_Energiewende
(2018)
Measure or management? : Resource use indicators for policymakers based on microdata by households
(2018)
Sustainable Development Goal 12 (SDG 12) requires sustainable production and consumption. One indicator named in the SDG for resource use is the (national) material footprint. A method and disaggregated data basis that differentiates the material footprint for production and consumption according to, e.g., sectors, fields of consumption as well as socioeconomic criteria does not yet exist. We present two methods and its results for analyzing resource the consumption of private households based on microdata: (1) an indicator based on representative expenditure data in Germany and (2) an indicator based on survey data from a web tool. By these means, we aim to contribute to monitoring the Sustainable Development Goals, especially the sustainable management and efficient use of natural resources. Indicators based on microdata ensure that indicators can be disaggregated by socioeconomic characteristics like age, sex, income, or geographic location. Results from both methods show a right-skewed distribution of the Material Footprint in Germany and, for instance, an increasing Material Footprint with increasing household income. The methods enable researchers and policymakers to evaluate trends in resource use and to differentiate between lifestyles and along socioeconomic characteristics. This, in turn, would allow us to tailor sustainable consumption policies to household needs and restrictions.
In this policy paper we discuss policy instruments which can help to decarbonise passenger cars in the European Union. We elaborate to what extent these policy instruments are effective, technology-neutral, predictable, cost-effective and enforceable. Based on these criteria, we develop recommendations for the European Union and its Member States on (1) how to shape their policy frameworks in order to achieve existing climate change mitigation targets; (2) how to support car manufacturers in selling innovative and competitive products; and (3) how to encourage consumers in Europe to purchase appropriate vehicles.
We conclude that favourable policy instruments are used, but there is a strong need for adjustment and further development. The effectiveness of the current EU emission standard should be further increased by turning away from granting "super-credits" and introducing a size-based (instead of weight-based) credit system. Moreover, its overall ambition is questionable and the existing compliance mechanisms should be sharpened.
Fuel taxes are an effective means to push consumers to buy energy-efficient cars. However, a sharp increase may not have the desired effects. Instead, the Member States should harmonise their excise duties at the level of those Member States, which currently impose the highest taxes (Netherlands, Italy). This includes the abolition of any diesel tax bonus. An introduction and harmonisation of vehicle taxes (purchase and circulation) should be based on a vehicle's energy consumption. Additionally, reformation efforts should aim to change the taxation of company cars in a way that vehicle sizes are reduced over time.
Ambitious Member States may also want to introduce a sales quota for electric vehicles. Sales quotas are a very cost-effective policy instrument provided that the mandated technology will achieve a certain market share. This may be assumed for battery-electric vehicles. Further supportive instruments that should be considered are eco-labelling, public procurement and purchase incentives. However, the latter instrument's effectiveness is debatable and its implementation should therefore not be a Member State's priority.
Flexibilitätspotenziale und -perspektiven in einer Rohstoffschmelzanlage für Feuerfestmaterialien
(2018)
Multiplying mighty Davids? : The influence of energy cooperatives on Germany’s energy transition
(2018)
This book systematically describes and evaluates the impact of energy cooperatives as a key driving force in the German energy transition toward a sustainability-oriented energy sector. Based on a comprehensive survey and three case studies, it provides an instructive overview of the overall dimensions and scope of energy cooperatives in Germany, and of their history, structure and current investment projects. The book not only contributes to the energy policy discourse in Germany, but also highlights the role of energy cooperatives to enable an international readership to explore their potential in other countries. Further, it makes a theoretical contribution toward substantially supplementing actor research in general, and enterprise research in particular, in the field of sustainability transitions science.
The inclusion of references to human rights in the Paris Agreement was celebrated as a milestone towards greater integration of human rights in environmental and climate governance. Beyond their symbolic value, the significance of these provisions however depends on the extent to which they inform the implementation of the Paris Agreement both at the national and international levels. This article takes stock of the integration of human rights in climate governance and identifies concrete opportunities to ensure that human rights considerations are included in the Paris Implementation Guidelines to be adopted at COP-24, promoting climate action that aligns with Parties' human rights obligations. We first consider the relevance of human rights to climate action and the incremental recognition of these linkages in the international climate regime - both in the lead up to the adoption of the Paris Agreement and since. We then consider in specific terms how human rights could inform five key dimensions of the Paris Agreement's Implementation Guidelines: NDC guidance, adaptation communications, transparency framework, global stocktake, and the article 6 mechanisms. This article will reflect on past experience of how climate policy impacts human rights and on proposals put forward in the context of the negotiations of the implementation guidelines. It concludes with recommendations on a right-based approach to the implementation of the Paris Agreement.
Nutrition is responsible for about 30% of global natural resource use. In order to limit the negative impact the nutritional sector has on the environment and on society, the consumption and processing of foodstuffs with assumed low negative impact is an important topic in the effort of sustainable development. In professional kitchens, clearly defined indicators assessing the impact of business activities are needed in this effort. The research and development in the NAHGAST project provides groundwork that could be of important assistance in this effort. Two versions of an assessment tool, with indicators of different complexity (NAHGAST Meal-Basic and NAHGAST Meal-Pro), were developed that can be used by kitchen professionals to determine the sustainability performance of their products - the offered meal. An informed selection of indicators, and a discussion of what processes and impacts this indicator relates to in the wider context, are essential and are discussed in this paper. Furthermore, in the selection of indicators for the purpose of our research certain criteria were considered simultaneously: (1) Communicability - What information an indicator can communicate and how comprehensible this information is for different actors; (2) Feasibility and data availability - Whether there is sufficient data for an indicator to be included and whether it is realistic for companies to integrate this indicator in their daily work practice; and (3) Scientific relevance - Whether the indicator is relevant for sustainability efforts on a larger scale and for related discussions in the scientific community. Insights related to these considerations are valuable for future developments in sustainability assessment in out-of-home gastronomy. The tool has been used to evaluate a number of dishes and results are deemed meaningful. However, assessments must not be understood as an accurate measurement but as an approximation of the sustainability of meals. At the level of individual indicators, they allow a detailed analysis and targeted optimization of recipes, while the aggregated results in the form of labels can be communicated well to customers. However, deficiencies and challenges, as discovered in the application phase of the project, demonstrate research gaps in the wider context. Finally, further steps for an integration of the tool in company processes and remaining options for companies to adjust the tool are discussed.
Erfolgreiche Transformation
(2018)
The Ernst Strüngmann Forum seeks to link justice, sustainability, and diversity agendas. In support, this chapter discusses how linkages between these three concepts have formed and changed in the climate change discourse, particularly in light of the recent Paris Agreement. As the latest addition to the portfolio of international climate change agreements, the Paris Agreement establishes a landscape in which nation-states, subnational actors, and transnational networks will be able to reconfigure existing linkages between sustainability, diversity, and justice, and perhaps improve upon them.
Here, three possible developments are identified which may substantially influence the reconfiguration process. Recognition is given to the sustainability and justice deficits that have plagued the "top-down" character of the international climate change discourse, and it is hypothesized that the Paris Agreement opens the door for "bottom-up" movements to claim a larger segment of climate change policy decision making and design. In turn, the "polycentric" landscape created by such "movement from below" appears to emphasize concepts such as inclusivity and transparency perhaps allowing for explicit climate justice commitments. Finally, to advance societal transformation and embrace diversity, it is hypothesized that the scientific endeavor needs to be transformed from a purely analytical pursuit to an effort that makes use of the wide range of scientific competences and provides support for transformative innovations to change unsustainable sociotechnical systems.
Obwohl viele der aktuellen Herausforderungen im Bereich der Energieversorgung eine internationale Dimension haben bzw. nur international gelöst werden können, ist die internationale Energiepolitik bis heute ein weitgehend ungesteuerter Politikbereich. Im letzten Jahrzehnt entwickelten sich zwar neue globale Kooperationsstrukturen und Initiativen, der Weg zu einer multilateralen, globalen Governance-Struktur, die zentrale Impulse für die gemeinsame Etablierung international geltender Normen und Regeln geben könnte, ist aber noch weit. Der Artikel führt in die aktuellen Entwicklungen ein und diskutiert die verbleibenden Herausforderungen.
Behälterglasherstellung
(2018)
Combined heat and power (CHP) production in buildings is one of the mitigation options available for achieving a considerable decrease in GHG emissions. Micro-CHP (mCHP) fuel cells are capable of cogenerating electricity and heat very efficiently on a decentralised basis. Although they offer clear environmental benefits and have the potential to create a systemic change in energy provision, the diffusion of mCHP fuel cells is rather slow. There are numerous potential drivers for the successful diffusion of fuel cell cogeneration units, but key economic actors are often unaware of them. This paper presents the results of a comprehensive analysis of barriers, drivers and business opportunities surrounding micro-CHP fuel-cell units (up to 5 kWel) in the German building market. Business opportunities have been identified based not only on quantitative data for drivers and barriers, but also on discussions with relevant stakeholders such as housing associations, which are key institutional demand-side actors. These business opportunities include fuel cell contracting as well as the development of a large lighthouse project to demonstrate the climate-neutral, efficient use of fuel cells in the residential building sector. The next step could involve the examination and development of more detailed options and business models. The approach and methods used in the survey may be applied on a larger scale and in other sectors.
Living-Lab-as-a-Service : exploring the market and sustainability offers of living labs in Germany
(2018)
Technologiebericht 1.4 Solare Wärme und Kälte innerhalb des Forschungsprojekts TF_Energiewende
(2018)
An index of accessibility-based vulnerability is created based on a definition of transport-user vulnerability regarding transport accessibility created for the EMPOWER project, in order to assess the project's key performance indicator of the inclusion of vulnerable people in the project's scheme. The objective of the index is to account for various individual vulnerability aspects, but also for the "multi-dimensionality" of vulnerability, i.e. individuals may be vulnerable because of one specific aspect (e.g., disability), or they may be vulnerable because of multiple aspects which, if assessed in isolation, wouldn't classify the individual as vulnerable. Users of the project scheme in the Dutch city of Enschede are surveyed on, inter alia, their vulnerability based on this definition, according to their income, mobility budget, physical mobility, age, gender, living situation, nation of birth, and education. According to individual questions, 1% to 54% (single parents and females, respectively) of respondents have some level of vulnerability. According to the index, 23–36% of respondents can be considered to be vulnerable. Suitably modified for local conditions, the index is relevant to cities, especially quickly developing cities where congestion reduction is or has been a priority, insofar as it offers a way of measuring and monitoring the vulnerability of the users of their transport system. Finally, steps to adapt the index to other settings (cities or countries) are discussed.
In this project, an overview and prioritization of relevant technologies of the German energy transition are presented in a consolidated form. Many of the relevant technologies have already been developed and deployed to the market. However, in various sectors like system integration or sector coupling, innovation needs remain, as well as in-depth research on further possibilities and potentials for cost degression and technology optimization for all technologies.
Ziel der vorliegenden Studie ist es, positive Nachhaltigkeitseffekte für die in 2017 emittierte Nachhaltigskeitsanleihe NRW zu bewerten. Die Studie baut dabei auf der Wirkungsanalyse der zweiten Nachhaltigskeitsanleihe NRW auf. Diese Studie war auf die Abschätzung von Treibhausgas-Minderungspotenzialen (THG-Minderungen) fokussiert. Der Fokus der vorliegenden Studie liegt ebenfalls auf der Evaluation der potenziellen THG-Minderung, da deren Bewertung sich derzeit als Standard für eine Wirkungsanalyse solcher Anleihen abzeichnet.
Reliably reducing the emissions in the building sector plays a crucial role if the 1.5°C climate target from the Paris Agreement is to be met. The observed trends show a significant increase in building energy use, especially in emerging economies. Counteracting these trends is absolutely essential, especially in the light of urbanisation, population growth and changing lifestyles. In terms of mitigating the climate impact of buildings, ensuring high levels of efficiency (i.e. very low energy needs, especially for heating and cooling) has the greatest potential for saving energy and emissions, and is at the same time the prerequisite for effective use of energy from renewable sources. Clearly defined targets and suitable metrics are essential to enable appropriate design decisions. Implemented projects clearly indicate that quality assured design and construction lead to reliable in-use energy performance. Effective policy packages to address opportunities and challenges are important drivers to support the uptake of state-of-the-art efficiency measures in the urban building sector.
Für den Klimaschutz müssen die Kohlendioxidemissionen verringert werden - massiv und schnell. Derzeit stehen dafür vor allem technische Lösungen im Fokus: bessere Energieeffizienz und mehr erneuerbare Energien. Diese Studie untersucht nun eine dritte, bislang zu wenig beachtete Strategie: die Energiesuffizienz. Sie verringert die Nachfrage nach energieintensiven Gütern und Dienstleistungen durch Verhaltensänderungen.
Zwei dafür wesentliche Sektoren werden behandelt: die Raumwärme der privaten Haushalte und der alltägliche Personenverkehr. Beide zusammen verursachen immerhin rund 40 Prozent der städtischen Energienachfrage. Am Beispiel eines Wuppertaler Stadtteils werden dafür lokale Akteure, geeignete Strategien und das erreichbare Einsparpotenzial an Energie und Kohlendioxid analysiert. In Szenarien bis zum Jahr 2050 werden die Einsparmöglichkeiten quantitativ abgeschätzt und die Auswirkungen auf das Alltagsleben der Menschen anschaulich beschrieben.
Soziale Innovationen leisten einen wichtigen Beitrag zur nachhaltigkeitsorientierten Transformation der Gesellschaft. Damit Lösungen für drängende Klima- und Ressourcenprobleme gefunden werden, müssen wir besser als bislang verstehen, wie sich soziale Innovationen verbreiten, sich dabei wandeln und wie sie die Gesellschaft verändern können.
Marco Hasselkuß entwickelt einen konzeptionellen Rahmen zur Analyse sozialer Innovation in Netzwerken. Am Fall von Netzwerken zwischen Schulen und Unternehmen in der "Bildung für nachhaltige Entwicklung" zeigt er, wie sich soziale Innovationen im Verlauf ihrer Verbreitung und Umsetzung verändern können - und wie das mit der Strukturation von Netzwerken als soziale Systeme zusammenhängt.
Er erforscht Typen von Modifikationen durch Kontextanpassung und Lernprozesse und untersucht Strategien von Akteuren, um erfolgreich transformative Wirkungen zu erzielen. Die Analyseergebnisse integriert er in einem Prozessmodell und zeigt Handlungsmöglichkeiten für die Praxis.
Seit Mitte der 2000er Jahre ist in Deutschland ein Großteil der Konzessionsverträge für örtliche Strom-Verteilnetze ausgelaufen. Dies eröffnete den Kommunen vielerorts die Möglichkeit ihre bis dahin in privatem Besitz befindlichen Strom-Verteilnetze zu rekommunalisieren. Vor dem Hintergrund der Energiewende und dem damit einhergehenden Umbau der deutschen Energielandschaft hin zu dezentralen Versorgungsstrukturen eröffnete sich kommunalen Verantwortlichen so die Möglichkeit die Umsetzung energiepolitischer Ziele der Bundesregierung auf kommunaler Ebene aktiv mitzugestalten.
Eine im Jahr 2013 durch das Wuppertal Institut durchgeführte Sondierungsstudie erfasste für den Zeitraum 2005 bis 2016 zahlreiche Stadtwerke-Neugründungen, welche einen Trend zur Rekommunalisierung im Bereich der Energieversorgung andeutete. Darüber hinaus versuchen sich Institutionen wie das Deutsche Institut für Urbanistik (Difu) und der Verband kommunaler Unternehmen e.V. (VKU) bereits seit Jahren einen Überblick über die Entwicklung von Rekommunalisierungen zu verschaffen. Trotzdem existiert bis heute keine flächendeckende Erhebung über Rekommunalisierungen in Deutschland.
Ziel dieser Arbeit war es daher eine Bestandsaufnahme über die Rekommunalisierung von Strom-Verteilnetzkonzessionen im Untersuchungsraum Nordrhein-Westfalen zwischen 2005 und 2016 vorzunehmen. In diesem Zeitraum konnten für den Untersuchungsraum insgesamt 119 Rekommunalisierungen festgestellt werden. Damit lagen bis Ende 2016 bereits zwei Drittel aller nordrhein-westfälischen Strom-Verteilnetzkonzessionen in kommunaler Hand, womit der Trend zur Rekommunalisierung eindeutig belegt werden konnte.
Das Ziel der Arbeit war es, die Rolle von Energiegenossenschaften unter dem Einfluss aktueller Entwicklungen der Energiewende für die dezentrale Energieversorgung zu analysieren. Mit dem Wegfall günstiger Förderbedingungen sind Energiegenossenschaften gezwungen ihr bisher erfolgreiches Geschäftsmodell neu auszurichten. In diesem Zusammenhang wurde der Frage nachgegangen, welche neuen Geschäfts- und Kooperationsmodelle von Energiegenossenschaften in Betracht gezogen werden. Weiterhin wurde untersucht, inwiefern die Kooperation mit Stadtwerken dabei Potenziale für Energiegenossenschaften birgt. Die Analyse erfolgte durch eine empirische Untersuchung, die sich zum einen aus einer quantitativen Online-Befragung und zum anderen aus teilstandardisierten Experteninterviews, welche vorrangig Kooperationen von Energiegenossenschaften mit Stadtwerken nachgehen, zusammensetzt.
Die untersuchten Energiegenossenschaften zeigten sich, ausgelöst durch einen geänderten Ordnungsrahmen, in einer wandelnden Position. Neue Geschäfts- und Kooperationsmodelle im Bereich der Erzeuger-Verbraucher-Angebote und der Energiedienstleistungen rücken dabei verstärkt in den Vordergrund der Überlegungen. Für den weiteren Erfolg dieser Entwicklung wird es allerdings umso wichtiger, kontextspezifische Möglichkeiten und Lösungen zu finden, die sich in die begrenzenden Möglichkeiten einer ehrenamtlichen Tätigkeit einrahmen lassen. Hierbei erwiesen sich Stadtwerke als bereichernde Kooperationspartner, die vielfältige Möglichkeiten für Energiegenossenschaften eröffnen können. Die im Rahmen dieser Arbeit analysierten Kooperationsmodelle zeugen von einem großen Spektrum an beidseitig gewinnbringenden Modellen. Für Energiegenossenschaften eröffnet sich damit durch die Unternehmensbeteiligung und der Einflussnahme auf die Stadtwerke verschiedene Wege einer Teilhabe der dezentralen Energiewende.
The international governance landscape on climate change mitigation is increasingly complex across multiple governance levels. Climate change mitigation initiatives by non-state stakeholders can play an important role in governing global climate change. The article addresses the relationship between intergovernmental and transnational governance processes in global climate governance. Particularly, the article aims to complement existing research on the role of "orchestration" by and through the UNFCCC process by focusing on how successful transnational initiatives can resonate within the intergovernmental negotiation process in order to inspire more ambitious climate action also on the part of national governments. This issue is addressed by systematically analysing interdependencies between transnational and international governance. Building on a structurational regime model, the article develops a theory of change of how and through which structuration channels non-state initiatives can contribute to changing the politics of international climate policy, traces existing UNFCCC processes and the Paris Agreement with a view to identifying inroads for a more direct feedback from non-state initiatives and derives recommendations on how and under which agenda items positive experiences can resonate within the UNFCCC negotiation process.
Quo vadis voluntary markets? : new Paris Agreement architecture puts business model to the test
(2018)
Although it is not part of what has been called the "ambition mechanism" or "ratchet mechanism", Article 6 of the Paris Agreement also has an explicit requirement to promote ambition. Article 6 specifically highlights that some Parties choose to pursue voluntary cooperation in the implementation of their nationally determined contributions to allow for higher ambition in their mitigation and adaptation actions. Despite the common purpose, the two elements have to date been discussed mostly in isolation, both in the negotiations as well as in the wider literature. This JIKO Policy Paper sets out to change this by exploring the relationship between Article 6 and the Global Stocktake.
This policy paper reviews the concept of additionality in the context of the Paris Agreement. Additionality is a key criterion that helps to maintain the environmental integrity of the Paris Agreement, especially when units created under Article 6.2 or 6.4 are used for offsetting purposes whether that is by Parties in order to meet their NDCs or whether by other entities with legal mitigation obligations.
It does so by first reviewing key concepts such as offsetting, environmental integrity, and baseline. Subsequently, it explores the context of additionality under the Paris Agreement. More specifically it discusses what should be counted as the baseline for additionality demonstration. The subsequent chapter then highlights the challenges with establishing additionality, that is establishing a causal relationship between a policy intervention and a proposed activity. Finally, the Policy Paper discusses aspects of international governance with respect to additionality.
Many hope that the Global Stocktake under the Paris Agreement can become a catalyst for increased mitigation ambition over time. Based on different theories of change, this paper outlines four governance functions for the Global Stocktake. It can contribute to the Paris Agreement as a pacemaker (stimulating and synchronizing policy processes across governance levels), by ensuring accountability of Parties, by enhancing ambition through benchmarks for action and transformative learning, and by reiterating and refining the guidance and signal provided from the Paris Agreement. The paper further outlines process- and information-related preconditions that would enable an ideal Global Stocktake.
Der Teilbericht 4 beschreibt eine multikriterielle, transparente und für Entscheider handhabbare Methode, mit der transparente Entscheidungen über die Förderung vielversprechender Demonstrations- und Modellvorhaben in der anwendungsnahen Forschung ermöglichen werden. Für Fördermittelgeber bietet die Methode eine orientierende Hilfestellung für in der Regel in diesem Kontext notwendigen Einzelfallentscheidungen. Die Methodik wurde im Rahmen des Forschungsvorhabens "Technologien für die Energiewende" entwickelt. Teil B stellt einen Leitfaden zur Durchführung der Methode bereit.
Real-world laboratories (RwLs) often put researchers in highly demanding research contexts regarding their roles and self-conceptions. Helpful roles of researchers have been described but still little is known about the factors influencing the adoption of certain roles. Using data from three parallel RwLs in Wuppertal, Germany, we found four roles of researchers: the reflective scientist, the facilitator, the change agent and the (self-)reflexive scientist. We sequenced the RwLs into situations and analysed them by RwL process steps and conditions, considering the roles of researchers as outcomes. Although the conditions convey only limited explanatory power, there was a consistent picture that being pressured to carry out real-world action, having a practice partner with fewer resources and working without a functional project group is (in conjunction) sufficient to cause the researcher to partake in activities beyond conventional research. Process steps played a minor role. Our research on factors influencing the adoption of roles may help RwL researchers to perform their roles as intended.
Der Teilbericht 4 beschreibt eine multikriterielle, transparente und für Entscheider handhabbare Methode, mit der transparente Entscheidungen über die Förderung vielversprechender Demonstrations- und Modellvorhaben in der anwendungsnahen Forschung ermöglichen werden. Für Fördermittelgeber bietet die Methode eine orientierende Hilfestellung für in der Regel in diesem Kontext notwendigen Einzelfallentscheidungen. Die Methodik wurde im Rahmen des Forschungsvorhabens "Technologien für die Energiewende" entwickelt. Teil A enthält die Anforderung und die Methodik.
There is an increasing pressure that enhanced and novel energy technologies are swiftly adopted by the market to ensure meeting the energy and climate targets. An important issue with such novel developments is their risk to be stuck in the "valley of death", i.e. that their transition to the market is delayed or unsuccessful. Publicly supported demonstration projects could help to bridge the valley of death by reducing barriers to the adoption caused by missing information and perceived risks. A challenge for technology demonstrations in the industrial context is their often high investments that are required to prove their real-world benefits. Given the magnitude of such investments, it becomes crucial that public funding focuses on the most promising demonstration proposals. Structured evaluation processes can help to facilitate the identification of promising proposals and to improve the quality and transparency of decisions. This paper deals with a corresponding multi-staged multi-criteria decision support system (DSS) suggested to the German Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy. It deals with the evaluation of demonstration proposals across three stages: The first stage represents a filtering stage to identify those proposals relevant for further considerations. The second stage comprises a multi-criteria scoring method drawing on an evaluation against nineteen criteria. The final third stage serves to critically review the need for public funding of well-scored proposals. This contribution outlines the development of the DSS and its design and thus provides insights on proposal evaluating in energy research.
New energy technologies may fail to make the transition to the market once research funding has ended due to a lack of private engagement to conclude their development. Extending public funding to cover such experimental developments could be one way to improve this transition. However, identifying promising research and development (R&D) proposals for this purpose is a difficult task for the following reasons: Close-to-market implementations regularly require substantial resources while public budgets are limited; the allocation of public funds needs to be fair, open, and documented; the evaluation is complex and subject to public sector regulations for public engagement in R&D funding. This calls for a rigorous evaluation process. This paper proposes an operational three-staged decision support system (DSS) to assist decision-makers in public funding institutions in the ex-ante evaluation of R&D proposals for large-scale close-to-market projects in energy research. The system was developed based on a review of literature and related approaches from practice combined with a series of workshops with practitioners from German public funding institutions. The results confirm that the decision-making process is a complex one that is not limited to simply scoring R&D proposals. Decision-makers also have to deal with various additional issues such as determining the state of technological development, verifying market failures or considering existing funding portfolios. The DSS that is suggested in this paper is unique in the sense that it goes beyond mere multi-criteria aggregation procedures and addresses these issues as well to help guide decision-makers in public institutions through the evaluation process.
The Paris Agreement (PA) emphasizes the intrinsic relationship between climate change and sustainable development (SD) and welcomes the 2030 agenda for the global Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs). Yet, there is a lack of assessment approaches to ensure that climate and development goals are achieved in an integrated fashion and trade-offs avoided. Article 6.4 of the PA introduces a new Sustainable Mitigation Mechanism (SMM) with the dual aim to contribute to the mitigation of greenhouse gas emissions and foster SD. The Kyoto Protocol's Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) has a similar objective and in 2014, the CDM SD tool was launched by the Executive Board of the CDM to highlight the SD benefits of CDM activities. This article analyses the usefulness of the CDM SD tool for stakeholders and compares the SD tool's SD reporting requirements against other flexible mechanisms and multilateral standards to provide recommendations for improvement. A key conclusion is that the Paris Agreement's SMM has a stronger political mandate than the CDM to measure that SD impacts are "real, measurable and long-term". Recommendations for an improved CDM SD tool are a relevant starting point to develop rules, modalities, and procedures for SD assessment in Article 6.4 as well as for other cooperative mitigation approaches.
Urban areas, being responsible for large shares of global greenhouse gas emissions, are important arenas for achieving global decarbonisation. However, the systemic challenge of decarbonisation requires deep structural changes - transitions - that take place across multiple scales and along entire value chains. We argue in this article that understanding the role of urban areas for global decarbonisation therefore requires consideration of their context and analysis of urban areas' contributions to transitions that extend past the individual urban area. We develop an analytical framework that proposes three principal ways urban areas contribute to low-carbon transitions and ten competences that regional and local governance actors have to support them. We apply this framework to the Cologne metropolitan area in Germany to demonstrate the ability of our framework to relate urban-scale activities to more encompassing low-carbon transitions. The paper concludes with future research possibilities.
Previous studies showed that using carbon dioxide (CO2) as a raw material for chemical syntheses may provide an opportunity for achieving greenhouse gas (GHG) savings and a low-carbon economy. Nevertheless, it is not clear whether carbon capture and utilization benefits the environment in terms of resource efficiency. We analyzed the production of methane, methanol, and synthesis gas as basic chemicals and derived polyoxymethylene, polyethylene, and polypropylene as polymers by calculating the output-oriented indicator global warming impact (GWI) and the resource-based indicators raw material input (RMI) and total material requirement (TMR) on a cradle-to-gate basis. As carbon source, we analyzed the capturing of CO2 from air, raw biogas, cement plants, lignite-fired power, and municipal waste incineration plants. Wind power serves as an energy source for hydrogen production. Our data were derived from both industrial processes and process simulations. The results demonstrate that the analyzed CO2-based process chains reduce the amount of GHG emissions in comparison to the conventional ones. At the same time, the CO2-based process chains require an increased amount of (abiotic) resources. This trade-off between decreased GHG emissions and increased resource use is assessed. The decision about whether or not to recycle CO2 into hydrocarbons depends largely on the source and amount of energy used to produce hydrogen.
Der Teilbericht 3 enthält die Ergebnisse der Innovationslückenanalyse, die im Forschungsvorhaben "Technologien für die Energiewende" durchgeführt wurde. In ihr wurde analysiert, für welche Ziele der Energiewende durch den Einsatz von heute bereits verfügbaren beziehungsweise in Entwicklung befindlichen Technologien ein ausreichender Abdeckungsgrad zu erwarten ist. Diese Analyse deckt aber auch auf, an welcher Stelle vermutlich Lücken bestehen, die perspektivisch durch die Entwicklung geeigneter Technologien gefüllt werden können.
Background: For a successful transition to a sustainable energy system, not only technical but also social innovations are required. A major challenge to social innovation research is how to translate the social innovation from a novelty with big potential into a mainstream practice. The multilevel perspective (MLP) of socio-technical transitions provides a heuristic to understand how niches can potentially break through to the regime level. In this paper, we examine in how far a multilevel perspective approach is suited to analyze and better understand diffusion trajectories of social rather than technological innovations, taking a social practice theory perspective. Five example projects, selected among the top social innovations for the Energiewende in North Rhine-Westphalia, are analyzed. We discuss to what extend the MLP provides a helpful tool to understand the transition processes.
Results: Social innovations can be very divers. We find that the MLP does not offer a one-size-fits-all framework for the analysis of the diffusion of social innovations. The MLP proves applicable only in those cases where the social innovation (1) can lead to a system change and (2) has a clear competing or symbiotic relationship with an existing regime.
Conclusions: Social innovations that aim to be transformative in the sense that they have the goal to be system changing (rather than incremental) can be analyzed along the heuristics of the MLP. For this type of social innovation, the MLP can be fruitful to learn to better understand the diffusion dynamics of social innovation and the barriers and drivers they might face. However, for social innovations that aim at incremental improvements without challenging the existing system, the MLP cannot be applied to study the diffusion process.
The author demonstrates that digital technologies and new mobility concepts can lead to a reduction of the automobiles in urban areas by a factor of 10. The book features two vivid case studies of such digital mobility concepts: TwoGo by SAP and smexx. The author proposes six prototypes of business models for "Shared Automobility Services". Janasz offers also the "Transformative Literacy" for designing sustainable urban mobility systems of the future. The author elaborates on the socio-political patterns of urban mobility by presenting the case of the City of Basel (Switzerland). He proposes the framework of "Integrated Sustainable Urban Mobility" to explain how to overcome car dependence in cities.
Viele Städte haben sich vor dem Hintergrund der kaum zurückgehenden verkehrsbedingten CO2-Emissionen und der hohen Belastung durch verkehrsbedingte Luftschadstoffe die Minderung des Pkw-Verkehrs zum Ziel gesetzt. Um dies zu erreichen, ist das Engagement verschiedener Akteursgruppen sinnvoll. Eine bislang noch wenig aktive Gruppe sind Unternehmen der Wohnungswirtschaft. Dieser Artikel zeigt am Fallbeispiel der Wohnungsgenossenschaft LebensRäume Hoyerswerda verschiedene Möglichkeiten auf, wie ein Wohnungsunternehmen zur fahrradfreundlichen Gestaltung von Wohnanlagen beitragen kann.
Die sozial-ökologische Forschung (SÖF) ist seit fast 20 Jahren ein Förderschwerpunkt des Bundesministeriums für Bildung und Forschung. Zur Weiterentwicklung dieses Förderschwerpunktes wurde bereits in der Vergangenheit ein Austausch mit relevanten Akteuren organisiert, um gemeinsam die Inhalte und Themenschwerpunkte der SÖF zu diskutieren. Ein neuer Agendaprozess ist 2018 gestartet. In einem ersten Schritt konnten bis Juni 2018 Themenvorschläge, sogenannte Agendapapiere, auf einer Plattform hochgeladen und kommentiert werden. Der vorliegende Beitrag ist im Rahmen dieses Prozesses entstanden. Aus Sicht der Autorinnen und Autoren stellt die Erforschung von Arbeit - insbesondere in Bezug zur sozial-ökologischen Forschung in den Feldern Mobilität, Ernährung und Energie - eine eklatante Forschungslücke innerhalb der sozial-ökologischen Forschung dar. Dabei sind etliche Bedarfsfelder geradezu auf unsere Arbeitsgesellschaft hin ausgerichtet. Wenn die Realität der Arbeitsgesellschaft thematisiert wird, geschieht dies jedoch meist ohne Berücksichtigung der damit einhergehenden ökologischen Effekte. Doch in kaum einem anderen Forschungsfeld sind soziale und ökologische Fragen so eng miteinander verzahnt wie in der Arbeitspolitik. Daher wollen sich die Autorinnen und Autoren in diesem Papier für eine sozial-ökologische Ausrichtung der Arbeitsforschung stark machen und plädieren für eine eigenständige Forschungsagenda zu sozial-ökologischer Arbeitspolitik.
Was heißt hier gerecht? Anmerkungen zu strukturellen Hintergründen des Gerechtigkeitsbegriffs
(2018)
Was bedeutet "gerecht"? Der alte Begriff reicht von antiken Zweifeln am Recht des Stärkeren über neuzeitliche Gesellschaftsverträge bis hin zu Forderungen nach Menschenrechten für alle. In diesem Beitrag werden strukturelle Hintergründe des Gerechtigkeitsbegriffs betrachtet. Die Autorinnen skizzieren verschiedene Ebenen der Gerechtigkeit: Sie reichen von der individuellen Gerechtigkeit als Tugend, über die institutionelle Gerechtigkeit als Leitidee für Recht, Staat und Politik, bis hin zur globalen Gerechtigkeit als Orientierung für staatenübergreifende rechtliche und politische Regelungen.
The study shows that more cyclists and pedestrians can make cities safer. The ranking, compiled by the Wuppertal Institute and funded by Greenpeace, compared 13 metropolises in terms of public transport, road safety, air quality, mobility management, and the proportion of cyclists and pedestrians. The result: Amsterdam and Copenhagen, residents travel about a third of their trips by bicycle, and these cities have the fewest bicycle accidents.
This JIKO Policy Paper explores how Parties using Article 6 can increase their mitigation ambition. Building on a broad definition of ambition raising which puts the intensification of climate change mitigation targets and actions by Parties at its centre, eight different ambition raising options are identified. The analysis shows that these options are associated with different technical, institutional and political challenges, calling for a combination of different ambition raising options.
With the adoption of Article 6 of the Paris Agreement, former debates about generating carbon credits on the basis of national policies have resurged. National policies have not been eligible as project activities under the Kyoto Protocol's flexible mechanisms. The Paris Agreement opens the possibility for such policy crediting but also provides an entirely new context: Universal participation, ambitious long-term targets and nationally defined contributions (NDCs) that are to be made more ambitious over time. As this paper shows, these changes in the framework conditions add an additional layer of complexity to policy-based cooperation.
The paper explores the potential for policy-based cooperation by first briefly presenting the regulatory basis provided by the Paris Agreement before outlining a prototype for policy-based cooperation and its key challenges.
Transition modelling is an emerging but growing niche within the broader field of sustainability transitions research. The objective of this paper is to explore the characteristics of this niche in relation to a range of existing modelling approaches and literatures with which it shares commonalities or from which it could draw. We distil a number of key aspects we think a transitions model should be able to address, from a broadly acknowledged, empirical list of transition characteristics. We review some of the main strands in modelling of socio-technological change with regards to their ability to address these characteristics. These are: Eco-innovation literatures (energy-economy models and Integrated Assessment Models), evolutionary economics, complex systems models, computational social science simulations using agent based models, system dynamics models and socio-ecological systems models. The modelling approaches reviewed can address many of the features that differentiate sustainability transitions from other socio-economic dynamics or innovations. The most problematic features are the representation of qualitatively different system states and of the normative aspects of change. The comparison provides transition researchers with a starting point for their choice of a modelling approach, whose characteristics should correspond to the characteristics of the research question they face. A promising line of research is to develop innovative models of co-evolution of behaviours and technologies towards sustainability, involving change in the structure of the societal and technical systems.
Zur Realisierung der europäischen Klimaschutzziele muss der Industriesektor, besonders die energieintensive Grundstoffindustrie, seine Treibhausgasemissionen stark reduzieren. Obwohl in der Vergangenheit bereits große Fortschritte erzielt wurden, sind in Zukunft weitere, teils bahnbrechende Innovationen und der Aufbau der dafür benötigten Infrastruktur erforderlich. Im Rahmen dieses Projekts stellt das Wuppertal Institut für die "European Climate Foundation" den aktuellen Wissensstand zum Thema zusammen, diskutiert diesen vor dem Hintergrund der aktuellen Situation für Nordrhein-Westfalen (NRW), erstellt konsistente mögliche Zukunftsszenarien für NRW und leitet Schlüsselfragen und weiteren Forschungsbedarf für die Region ab.
Die voranschreitende Umstellung des Energiesystems von einer "additiven Rolle" regenerativer Energien hin zu deren Dominanz wirft zahlreiche Fragestelllungen auf, für deren Beantwortung in zunehmendem Maße Modellierungsansätze gewählt werden. Vor diesem Hintergrund ist in den letzten Jahren eine große Anzahl von modellbasierten Szenarioanalysen des deutschen Energiesystems entstanden. Da sie zum Teil sehr unterschiedliche Ergebnisse erzielen, die nur schwer miteinander vergleichbar sind, erschwert dies die Weiterentwicklung des Zukunftswissens zur Energiewende und auch die gegenseitige Qualitätssicherung der Ergebnisse.
Vor diesem Hintergrund hat das Wuppertal Institut zusammen mit den Partnern Fraunhofer ISE und DLR das RegMex-Projekt durchgeführt. Ziel des Projektes war zum einen die inhaltliche Weiterentwicklung der Diskussion zur Ausgestaltung der Energiewende. Zum anderen sollte durch den Modellvergleich eine höhere Transparenz der teilnehmenden Modelle erreicht werden, um die Implikationen und Auswirkungen verschiedener Modellansätze besser differenzierten zu können.
Im Modellexperiment 1 wurden für zwei Szenarien (Zielszenario und Ambitioniertes Szenario) das Gesamtsystem mit Hilfe von drei Energiesystemmodellen und im Modellexperiment 2 das Stromsystem und flexible Sektorenkopplung mit Hilfe von vier Stromsystemmodellen modelliert. In einem weiteren Arbeitspaket wurden "Disruptive Elemente" identifiziert und analysiert, die gravierende Auswirkungen auf das Energiesystem haben können. Die Modellexperimente zeigen klar, dass die Einordnung und Interpretation von Modellergebnissen nicht losgelöst von den Modellen und deren methodischen Unterschieden erfolgen darf.
The Port of Rotterdam is one of the pioneers in the reduction of greenhouse gas emissions. It is the largest port in Europe and extends over 40 kilometres to the North Sea coast. Its ambitious goal: the port wants to reduce greenhouse gas emissions from its industrial cluster as well as from freight traffic to a large extent. For the study "Deep Decarbonisation Pathways for Transport and Logistics Related to the Port of Rotterdam" the Wuppertal Institute analysed available options for the maritime as well was hinterland transports on behalf of the Rotterdam Port Authority.
The 2050 scenarios by the Wuppertal Institute show that decarbonisation will significantly change both, volume and structure of the transported goods - which add to the on-going trend from bulk to container transport. This will have considerable structural effects on port operations and in particular on hinterland traffic. A comprehensive decarbonisation (>95 per cent) will require significant efficiency improvements through operational and technical measures and the switch to non-fossil fuels, as well as a strong shift of container transport from road transport to rail and inland navigation. For maritime shipping to and from Rotterdam two feasible pathways towards full decarbonisation by 2050 are presented. Both include a stepwise shift towards renewable electricity based energy carriers for ships (liquids and gaseous for long distances and hydrogen and electricity for shorter distances).
Finally the report derives a set of recommendations for the Port Authority as well as the Dutch, German and European policymakers to support the transition towards a drastic reduction of greenhouse gase (GHG) emissions from in the transport sector and for using this as a strategy for a sustainable economic development.
This thesis justifies and develops a sustainable level of Lifestyle Material Footprint (LMF) as a benchmark for designing sustainable lifestyles. It shows the application of the benchmark in a Household-level Sustainability Transition method and presents a framework for inspiring design solutions towards a Design for One Planet (Df1P).
The thesis shows how the Material Input per unit of Service (MIPS) concept has developed from product orientation to the application to household consumption and from technically-focused measurement into an integral part of methods for designing one-planet lifestyles and supporting solutions. This provides both an advanced application of the concept and its opening to new purposes and users.
The core of the thesis is the suggestion of a sustainable material footprint benchmark of 8 tonnes per person per year as a resource cap target for household consumption in Finland, an 80% (factor 5) reduction from present average. The 8 tonnes benchmark opens the possibility for a target-oriented, planned reduction of LMFs by target-setting, experimenting and up-scaling of sustainable solutions. The method enabled the participating households to perform footprint reductions of 26–54% during the one-month experiment phase. Notable footprint reductions are thus possible even in the short term, which is an important message to other households and other actors in society. Calculating households' LMFs makes visible the structures underlying household consumption and the need for change not only in household consumption but also in the supply of products, services and infrastructure, and thus systemic changes initiated by others than households.
The orientation framework of Df1P suggests measures that could be promoted by means of design, and structures them in a matrix incorporating priority action areas in the fields of housing, nutrition and mobility, and the domains of product design, service design, infrastructure planning and communication design. Mainstreaming sustainable lifestyles will potentially require a new design culture, but at least significant efforts in product design, service design and infrastructure planning as well as in making sustainable solutions attractive to consumers and disrupting existing routines. The more technology and infrastructure can be integrated into this change, the more space will be left for individual diversity in achieving sustainable household consumption. The orientation framework could provide a first step towards Df1P practice by inspiring designers to integrate the recognition of the planetary boundaries into their work.