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Wie misst man ein Feuerwerk?
(2018)
Many hope that the Global Stocktake under the Paris Agreement can become a catalyst for increased mitigation ambition over time. Based on different theories of change, this paper outlines four governance functions for the Global Stocktake. It can contribute to the Paris Agreement as a pacemaker (stimulating and synchronizing policy processes across governance levels), by ensuring accountability of Parties, by enhancing ambition through benchmarks for action and transformative learning, and by reiterating and refining the guidance and signal provided from the Paris Agreement. The paper further outlines process- and information-related preconditions that would enable an ideal Global Stocktake.
Wasting food, wasting resources : potential environmental savings through food waste reductions
(2018)
Food is needed to maintain our physical integrity and therefore meets a most basic human need. The food sector got in the focus of environmental policy, because of its environmental implications and its inefficiency in terms of the amount of food lost along the value chain. The European Commission (EC) flagged the food waste issue a few years ago and adopted since then a series of policies that partially address the problem. Among these, the Resource Efficiency Roadmap set the aspirational goal of reducing the resource inputs in the food chain by 20% and halving the disposal of edible food waste by 2020. Focusing on consumer food waste, we tested what a reduction following the Roadmap's food waste target would imply for four environmental categories in EU28 (European Union 28 Member States): greenhouse gas emissions, land use, blue water consumption, and material use. Compared to the 2011 levels, reaching the target would lead to 2% to 7% reductions of the total footprint depending on the environmental category. This equals a 10% to 11% decrease in inputs in the food value chain (i.e., around half of the resource use reductions targeted). The vast majority of potential gains are related to households, rather than the food-related services. Most likely, the 2020 target will not be met, since there is insufficient action both at Member State and European levels. The Sustainable Development Goals provide a new milestone for reducing edible food waste, but Europe needs to rise up to the challenge of decreasing its per capita food waste generation by 50% by 2030.
Vorteil Stadtwerke
(2018)
Wie weit können ambitionierte und flächenhafte Maßnahmen zur Verkehrsverlagerung im Personenverkehr im Ruhrgebiet dazu beitragen, die Ziele von Energiewende und Klimaschutz in der Region bis 2050 zu erreichen? Diese Frage wurde mit dem "Modell Ruhrgebiet" mittels systematischer Forecasting-Szenarien untersucht. Mit den Simulationsrechnungen können die Potenziale von integrierten Maßnahmen der Siedlungsentwicklung und Verkehrsplanung zur Verkehrsverlagerung vom motorisierten Individualverkehr zum Umweltverbund identifiziert werden. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass durch eine kombinierte Push- und Pullstrategie für den Modal Shift beachtliche Potenziale zur Verkehrsverlagerung und damit zur Verringerung der Kohlendioxidemissionen erschlossen werden können. Besonders wirksam sind restriktive Maßnahmen gegen den MIV. Die Ergebnisse verdeutlichen eine unbequeme Wahrheit: Es ginge, wenn man wollte.
Der Titel "Grüne Hauptstadt Europas 2017" zeichnet seit 2008 Großstädte aus, die sich dauerhaft für hohe Umweltstandards und eine nachhaltige Entwicklung einsetzen. Mit der Auszeichnung der Stadt Essen für das Jahr 2017 wurde sowohl ihr bisheriges Engagement unter anderem in den Themen Klimawandel, Verkehr, Umwelt- und Ressourcenschutz gewürdigt als auch ihre Bestrebungen, den ökonomischen Strukturwandel in der Stadt nachhaltig zu bewältigen.
Umso bedeutsamer ist es daher, festzuhalten, in welcher Weise die Projekte und Aktivitäten zur Grünen Hauptstadt Europas in der Stadt Wirkungen erzielt haben. Diese und weitere Fragen waren der Gegenstand der Begleitforschung zur Grünen Hauptstadt, die von einem Team von Forscherinnen und Forschern des Wuppertal Instituts, der Universität Duisburg-Essen, der Ruhr-Universität Bochum und der Technischen Universität Dortmund umgesetzt wurde. Der nun vorliegende Bericht ist Teil der Dokumentation, die die Stadt Essen an die Europäische Kommission als Abschlussbericht der Grünen Hauptstadt richten wird.
The implications of how climate funds conceptualize transformational change in developing countries
(2018)
The search for globally coordinated mitigation strategies that could contribute effectively towards bridging the gap between current emissions reduction efforts and a rapidly closing 2°C climate target remains contentious. The participation of developing countries through Nationally Appropriate Mitigation Actions (NAMAs) is emerging as a crucial feature to attain this goal. Against this background, two of the major NAMA funding agencies have embraced "transformational change (TC)" and "paradigm shifts" as policy concepts. Yet, their operationalization within aid management approaches has not been fully justified. Concurrently, academic interest in theories of sustainability transitions has been growing, out of which the Transition Management (TM) approach provides the theoretical inspiration to study, and eventually promote, systemic TCs. However, there is still limited knowledge with which to contextualize the steering of such transitions to different settings. This article engages in these debates by reviewing the theoretical grounding behind the Green Climate Fund and the NAMA Facility's conceptualizations of TC through NAMA interventions against the corresponding theoretical assumptions of TM. Based on a critical review of relevant literature, it is argued that the logical framework-based approach adopted by the funds contains implicit assumptions of causality, which do not adequately cater for the uncertainties, non-linearity and feedback loops inherent in transition processes. The incorporation of more adaptive and reflexive elements is proposed as an alternative. This paper contributes to existing knowledge by critically reflecting on the applicability of TM towards governing sociotechnical transitions in the developing world and by exposing the limitations behind the current thinking underpinning NAMA funding. In conclusion, the systems perspective adopted in sustainability transition theories is thus recommended as a more rewarding approach towards understanding how attempts at transforming paradigms through support to climate policies and actions in developing countries are played out.
Climate change induces various risks for supply chains of manufacturing firms. However, surveys have suggested that only a minority of firms conducts strategic adaptations, which we define as anticipatory and target-oriented action with the purpose of increasing resilience to climate change. While several barrier-centered studies have investigated the causality of non-adaptation in industry, the examined barriers are often not problem-specific. Furthermore, it has been shown that even in cases when managers perceive no barriers to adaptation at all, strategic adaptations may still not be conducted. On this background, the present analysis focuses on the logic of adaptive inaction, which we conceive, in particular, as inaction with regard to strategic adaptations. Adopting an action-theoretical perspective, the study examines (a) which aspects may shape the rationality of adaptive inaction among managers, (b) which more condensed challenges of conducting strategic adaptations emerge for managers, and (c) how the theoretical propositions can be tested. For this purpose, the study employs an exploratory approach. Thus, hypotheses on such aspects are explored, which may shape the rationality of adaptive inaction among managers. Subsequently, predictions are inferred from the theoretical propositions, which allow testing their empirical relevance. Methodologically, the hypotheses are explored by reexamining existing explanatory approaches from literature based on a set of pretheoretical assumptions, which include notions of bounded rationality. As a result, the study proposes 13 aspects which may constrain managers in conducting adaptations in such a way, which serves the economic utility of the firm. By condensing these aspects, 4 major challenges for managers are suggested: the challenges of (a) conducting long-term adaptations, of (b) conducting adaptations at an early point in time, of (c) conducting adaptations despite uncertain effects of the measures, and of (d) conducting adaptations despite cross-tier dependencies in supply chains. Finally, the study shows how the propositions can be tested and outlines a research agenda based on the developed theoretical suggestions.
The calm before the storm : an assessment of the 23rd Climate Change Conference (COP 23) in Bonn
(2018)
From 6 to 17 November, the 23rd Conference of the Parties (COP23) to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) was held in Bonn under the presidency of Fiji. Researchers of the Wuppertal Institute, who attended the conference, have now published an in-depth analysis of the key results of the conference.
The report starts by discussing developments regarding the implementation of the Paris Agreement, in particular the negotiations on the detailed "rulebook" for implementing the Agreement. Other key issues addressed at the conference were the support for countries of the Global South in dealing with the effects of climate change (adaptation and climate finance) and preparation of the first global review of climate action that will take place in December this year. In addition, the report discusses recent developments in the wider world that have an impact on the UNFCCC, in particular the rise of pioneer alliances at the intergovernmental and civil society level.
Although some progress was achieved regarding the rulebook for implementation of the Paris Agreement, no real breakthrough was made. Therefore, quite some diplomatic work and political leadership will be needed this year to make the adoption of the rulebook at COP24 in Katowice (Poland) possible. This will require quite some tailwind from civil society and the media.
Dieses Inputpapier soll für japanische Entscheidungsträgerinnen und -träger aufzeigen, was die Hintergründe der in Deutschland zu beobachtenden Welle an Stadtwerke-Neugründungen und Rekommunalisierungen sind. Dabei wird auf aktuelle energiewirtschaftliche Entwicklungen und Rahmenbedingungen in Deutschland eingegangen, die ein besseres Verständnis vermitteln werden. Das Inputpapier soll vor allem japanische Kommunalpolitikerinnen und -politiker in die Lage versetzen, in ihren eigenen Gemeinden fundierte Diskussionen über eine mögliche Stadtwerkegründung zu führen und Entscheidungen vorzubereiten. Dies können sie auf Basis wichtiger Grundkenntnisse und Erfahrungen deutscher Städte und Gemeinden initiieren. Im Laufe des Gesamtprojektes wird im Herbst 2018 ein Werkzeugkasten entwickelt, der zur Unternehmens-Neugründung in Japan wichtige Hilfestellungen wird leisten können. Ergänzend dazu bleiben juristische und energiewirtschaftliche Fachberatungen unerlässlich, um einen erfolgreichen Start der neuen kommunalwirtschaftlichen Unternehmen zu gewährleisten. Dieses Inputpapier versteht sich daher als erste Handreichung und Hilfestellung für kommunale Entscheidungsträgerinnen und -träger in Japan, damit dort ein Grundverständnis des "Stadtwerkeprinzips" entstehen kann.
Reliably reducing the emissions in the building sector plays a crucial role if the 1.5°C climate target from the Paris Agreement is to be met. The observed trends show a significant increase in building energy use, especially in emerging economies. Counteracting these trends is absolutely essential, especially in the light of urbanisation, population growth and changing lifestyles. In terms of mitigating the climate impact of buildings, ensuring high levels of efficiency (i.e. very low energy needs, especially for heating and cooling) has the greatest potential for saving energy and emissions, and is at the same time the prerequisite for effective use of energy from renewable sources. Clearly defined targets and suitable metrics are essential to enable appropriate design decisions. Implemented projects clearly indicate that quality assured design and construction lead to reliable in-use energy performance. Effective policy packages to address opportunities and challenges are important drivers to support the uptake of state-of-the-art efficiency measures in the urban building sector.
Mit dem Auslaufen vieler Konzessionsverträge im Strom- und Gasbereich auf der örtlichen Verteilnetzebene sind in Deutschland zahlreiche neue Stadtwerke entstanden. Die Bestandsaufnahmen der Autoren zeigen einen eindrucksvollen Sachstand: Durch Gründung von insgesamt 152 neuen Stadt-, Gemeinde- und Regionalwerken haben zahlreiche Kommunen zwischen 2005 und 2016 die Chance ergriffen, ihre Energieversorgung künftig mit eigenen Unternehmen stärker selbst gestalten zu wollen. Doch zum Ende dieser Periode lässt dieser Trend in Deutschland merklich nach. International hingegen mehren sich die Fälle kommunalwirtschaftlichen Engagements. Selbst im Mutterland des Kapitalismus, den USA, gibt es eine starke Bewegung zur Gründung von Stadtwerken. Insbesondere in den Kommunen werden die Auswirkungen verfehlter Privatisierungspolitik deutlich. Hier zeigten sich die negativen Auswirkungen einer am Shareholder Value ausgerichteten Versorgung am deutlichsten. Deshalb wird dort zunehmend nach Lösungen gesucht, die den Public Value steigern, dabei die Gemeinwohlinteressen der Kommunen in den Vordergrund stellen und die Qualität von Serviceleistungen der Daseinsvorsorge nachhaltig verbessern.
In this project, an overview and prioritization of relevant technologies of the German energy transition are presented in a consolidated form. Many of the relevant technologies have already been developed and deployed to the market. However, in various sectors like system integration or sector coupling, innovation needs remain, as well as in-depth research on further possibilities and potentials for cost degression and technology optimization for all technologies.
The Ernst Strüngmann Forum seeks to link justice, sustainability, and diversity agendas. In support, this chapter discusses how linkages between these three concepts have formed and changed in the climate change discourse, particularly in light of the recent Paris Agreement. As the latest addition to the portfolio of international climate change agreements, the Paris Agreement establishes a landscape in which nation-states, subnational actors, and transnational networks will be able to reconfigure existing linkages between sustainability, diversity, and justice, and perhaps improve upon them.
Here, three possible developments are identified which may substantially influence the reconfiguration process. Recognition is given to the sustainability and justice deficits that have plagued the "top-down" character of the international climate change discourse, and it is hypothesized that the Paris Agreement opens the door for "bottom-up" movements to claim a larger segment of climate change policy decision making and design. In turn, the "polycentric" landscape created by such "movement from below" appears to emphasize concepts such as inclusivity and transparency perhaps allowing for explicit climate justice commitments. Finally, to advance societal transformation and embrace diversity, it is hypothesized that the scientific endeavor needs to be transformed from a purely analytical pursuit to an effort that makes use of the wide range of scientific competences and provides support for transformative innovations to change unsustainable sociotechnical systems.
This JIKO Policy Paper explores how Parties using Article 6 can increase their mitigation ambition. Building on a broad definition of ambition raising which puts the intensification of climate change mitigation targets and actions by Parties at its centre, eight different ambition raising options are identified. The analysis shows that these options are associated with different technical, institutional and political challenges, calling for a combination of different ambition raising options.