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The European Horizon 2020-project COMBI ("Calculating and Operationalising the Multiple Benefits of Energy Efficiency in Europe") aims at estimating the energy and non-energy impacts that a realisation of the EU energy efficiency potential would have in the year 2030. The project goal is to cover the most important technical potentials identified for the EU27 by 2030 and to come up with consistent estimates for the most relevant impacts: air pollution (and its effects on human health, eco-systems/crops, buildings), social welfare (including disposable income, comfort, health and productivity), biotic and abiotic resources, the energy system and energy security and the macro economy (employment, economic growth and the public budget). This paper describes the overall project research design, envisaged methodologies, the most critical methodological challenges with such an ex-ante evaluation and with aggregating the multiple impacts. The project collects data for a set of 30 energy efficiency improvement actions grouped by energy services covering all sectors and EU countries. Based on this, multiple impacts will be quantified with separate methodological approaches, following methods used in the respective literature and developing them where necessary. The paper outlines the approaches taken by COMBI: socio-economic modelling for air pollution and social welfare, resource modelling for biotic/abiotic and economically unused resources, General Equilibrium modelling for long-run macroeconomic effects and other models for short-run effects, and the LEAP model for energy system modelling. Finally, impacts will be aggregated, where possible in monetary terms. Specific challenges of this step include double-counting issues, metrics, within and cross-country/regional variability of effects and context-specificity.
Der Endbericht stellt die Ergebnisse des Projekts "Energiesuffizienz - Strategien und Instrumente für eine technische, systemische und kulturelle Transformation zur nachhaltigen Begrenzung des Energiebedarfs im Konsumfeld Bauen/Wohnen" dar. In dem Projekt wurde untersucht, wie energiesuffiziente Alltagsroutinen, soziale Praktiken und Lebensstilaspekte mit den sozialen und ökologischen Anforderungen an eine nachhaltige Entwicklung in Einklang gebracht werden können und wie die strukturellen und politischen Rahmenbedingungen gestaltet werden müssen, so dass Energiesuffizienz im Alltag akzeptabler und praktikabler wird. Für die drei prinzipiellen Energiesuffizienz-Ansätze Reduktion, Substitution und Anpassung wurden Reduktionspotenziale für den Haushaltsstromverbrauch quantifiziert. Für ausgewählte Anwendungsfelder wurden die Ergebnisse in Form von Suffizienzspektren dargestellt. Anschließend wurden Politikansätze zur Unterstützung von Energiesuffizienz in Privathaushalten analysiert und Vorschläge für ein integriertes Paket von Politikinstrumenten für Energieeffizienz und -suffizienz entwickelt. Die Erkenntnisse des Projektes sind unter anderem in einen internetbasierten Haushalts-Strom-Check, in ein Handbuch zur nachhaltigen Produktgestaltung für die Geräteindustrie und in die Entwicklung von Vorschlägen für nationale und EU-Instrumente zur Reduktion des Stromverbrauchs und zur Förderung des kommunalen Klimaschutzes eingeflossen.
The economic assessment of low-carbon energy options is the primary step towards the design of policy portfolios to foster the green energy economy. However, today these assessments often fall short of including important determinants of the overall cost-benefit balance of such options by not including indirect costs and benefits, even though these can be game-changing. This is often due to the lack of adequate methodologies.
The purpose of this paper is to provide a comprehensive account of the key methodological challenges to the assessment of the multiple impacts of energy options, and an initial menu of potential solutions to address these challenges.
The paper first provides evidence for the importance of the multiple impacts of energy actions in the assessment of low-carbon options.
The paper identifies a few key challenges to the evaluation of the co-impacts of low-carbon options and demonstrates that these are more complex for co-impacts than for the direct ones. Such challenges include several layers of additionality, high context dependency, and accounting for distributional effects.
The paper continues by identifying the key challenges to the aggregation of multiple impacts including the risks of overcounting while taking into account the multitude of interactions among the various co-impacts. The paper proposes an analytical framework that can help address these and frame a systematic assessment of the multiple impacts.