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This paper presents the strategy for a large EU-funded Integrated Project: EXIOPOL ("A New Environmental Accounting Framework Using Externality Data and Input-Output Tools for Policy Analysis"), with special attention for its part in environmentally extended (EE) input-output (IO) analysis. The project has three principal objectives: (a) to synthesize and further develop estimates of the external costs of key environmental impacts for Europe; (b) to develop an EE IO framework for the EU-27 in aglobal context, including as many of these estimates as possible, to allow for the estimation of environmental impacts (expressed as LCA themes, material requirement indicators, ecological footprints or external costs) of the activities of different economic sectors, final consumption activities and resource consumption; (c) to apply the results of the work to external costs and EE I-O for illustrative policy questions.
It is not the scarcity of resources that constitutes environmental problems, but their use, the physical throughput of our economies. Material flows are a proxy for the totality of the unspecific environmental risks from human activities. As a strategic goal, an increase of the life-cycle-wide resource productivity by a factor 10 is suggested, including the materials bought and sold and the not-valued materials: we have to take into account the product itself and its "ecological rucksack". Material flows are best measured at the input side of the economy, where their number as well as the number of entry gates is limited. Thus here regulation and economic incentives can work more efficiently and less bureaucratically than today. The material intensity of products and services can be expressed as MIPS, the material input per unit of service, and as TMR, the total material requirement on the macro level, an important element in physical input–output tables.
Diese Studie untersucht den Zusammenhang zwischen Globalisierung, also der Zunahme der weltweiten Handelsverflechtungen, und ausgewählten ökologischen Implikationen unter besonderer Berücksichtigung von "Nord-Süd-Konstellationen". Obgleich der weltweite Handel sich Mitte der 90er Jahre deutlich vom Weltwirtschaftswachstum abgehoben hat und seitdem nahezu dreimal schneller ansteigt als das Weltsozialprodukt, steigen ausgewählte weltweite Umweltbelastungsindikatoren in Form von Energieverbrauch und CO2-Emissionen nicht in dem Maße an wie der Welthandel. Globalisierung führt offenbar nicht zu einem im gleichen Ausmaß ansteigenden globalen Umweltverbrauch. Im Rahmen einer derartigen Entkoppelung kann es jedoch hypothetisch zu Verlagerungen kommen. Derartige Verlagerungseffekte werden im vorliegenden Papier exemplarisch am Beispiel der globalen Stoffstromverflechtungen der Europäischen Union untersucht. Es zeigt sich, dass im Verlauf der Globalisierung die EU-Länder vermehrt Umweltbelastungen in die Länder des Südens verlagert haben, vor allem in Form von ökologischen Rucksäcken der Rohstoffimporte. Gleichzeitig wurde der Druck auf die inländische Umwelt in Form von Ressourcenabbauprozessen reduziert. Des Weiteren wurden vermehrt "umweltbelastungsintensive" Waren aus Schwellenländern und Entwicklungsländern importiert. Diese zeichnen sich durch emissionsseitige Umweltbelastungen in den jeweiligen Schwellenländern und Entwicklungsländern aus (industrielle Luft- und Wasseremissionen, Schwermetallemissionen). Dabei diente das verstärkt aus ausländischen Ressourcen gedeckte Materialaufkommen in der EU weniger dem inländischen Konsum; es wurde vor allem zur Herstellung von Gütern für den Export verwendet, und zeigt somit einen zunehmenden Beitrag der EU zum Ressourcenaufwand anderer Ökonomien an. Das Papier leitet ab, dass bei einer Strategie der Ressourcen-Produktivitätssteigerung in Industrieländern, die internationale Dimension unbedingt zu berücksichtigen ist. Längerfristig sollte der Ressourcenverbrauch der EU auch in absoluten Mengen vermindert werden. Dies wäre auch erforderlich, um die Umweltbelastungen durch Importe und Exporte zu vermindern.
This paper examines the connection between globalisation, with its growth in world trade links, and certain ecological effects especially concerning "North-South" relations. Although world trade in the mid-nineties was significantly uncoupled from growth trends in the world economy, so that since then it has increased nearly three times faster than the global GDP, certain indicators of energy use and CO2 emissions have not developed proportionately to world trade; globalisation evidently does not lead to a situation where pressures on the environment are increasing to the same extent worldwide. This de-linking may, however, result in the kind of shifts that we examine here with reference to the material trade flows of the European Union. It will be shown that, in the course of globalisation, the countries of the EU have increasingly shifted environmental burdens on to the countries of the South, especially in the form of ecological rucksacks of imported raw materials, while at the same time reducing the pressure on their own domestic environment by extracting fewer material resources. Furthermore, goods whose production places intensive pressure on the environment (industrial emissions into the atmosphere and water, heavy metal emissions, etc.) have been increasingly imported from newly industrializing or developing countries. The greater covering of material requirements from foreign resources has served not so much the EU's internal consumption as its own production of export goods; this shows that the EU has an increasing share in the resource requirement of other economies. The paper concludes that it is absolutely necessary to consider the international dimension in any strategy for more productive use of resources in industrial countries. In the long term, the EU's resource use should also be reduced in absolute terms. This will also be necessary in order to reduce the pressure on the environment due to imports and exports.
Sektorale Analyse der Strukturwandelprozesse auf dem Weg zu einer dematerialisierten Wirtschaft
(2003)
The use of materials and the generation of waste are linked to economic activities and in many projections these are assumed to be a constant ratio of the economic activities. This may be the case considering detailed economic activities and unchanged technology. However, the assumption of constant coefficients is questionable when linking material use and waste generation to aggregated economic activities. Therefore, in this paper, econometrics is used to test the assumption of constant waste coefficients empirically. The analyses show that an assumption of constant waste coefficients is not supported, generally, and amodel allowing for trendwise changing coefficients is developed and used for projections of waste and material flows in 25 European countries.