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- Energie-, Verkehrs- und Klimapolitik (90) (remove)
Global climate
(2008)
Die CDM/JI-Initiative des BMU : für mehr Engagement in internationalen Klimaschutzinvestitionen
(2008)
Proposals for contributions of emerging economies to the climate regime under the UNFCCC post 2012
(2008)
Under the principle of "common but differentiated responsibilities” (Article 3.1 of the UNFCCC) non-Annex I parties have so far been exempted from emission limitation or reduction commitments. However, the pressure is mounting on those countries, especially major emitting developing countries, to contribute actively to the mitigation of climate change. Participation by these developing countries in a future international climate regime is often called for, but it is usually unclear how and how much these countries should participate, what kind of support they need and in which sectors. This project aims to provide a more detailed view on six countries to understand how they could best make a contribution to the regime and how they could best be supported in limiting their greenhouse gas emissions.
The sensitivity of climate phenomena in the low latitudes to enhanced greenhouse conditions is a scientific issue of high relevance to billions of people in the poorest countries of the globe. So far, most studies dealt with individual model results. In the present analysis, we refer to 79 coupled ocean–atmosphere simulations from 12 different climate models under 6 different IPCC scenarios. The basic question is as to what extent various state-of-the-art climate models agree in predicting changes in the main features of El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the monsoon climates in South Asia and West Africa. The individual model runs are compared with observational data in order to judge whether the spatio-temporal characteristics of ENSO are well reproduced. The model experiments can be grouped into multi-model ensembles. Thus, climate change signals in the classical index time series, in the principal components and in the time series of interannual variability can be evaluated against the background of internal variability and model uncertainty.
There are large differences between the individual model predictions until the end of the 21st century, especially in terms of monsoon rainfall and the Southern Oscillation index (SOI). The majority of the models tends to project La Niña-like anomalies in the SOI and an intensification of the summer monsoon precipitation in India and West Africa. However, the response barely exceeds the level of natural variability and the systematic intermodel variations are larger than the impact of different IPCC scenarios. Nonetheless, there is one prominent climate change signal, which stands out from model variations and internal noise: All forced model experiments agree in predicting a substantial warming in the eastern tropical Pacific. This oceanic heating does not necessarily lead to a modification of ENSO towards more frequent El Niño and/or La Niña events. It simply represents a change in the background state of ENSO. Indeed, we did not find convincing multi-model evidence for a modification of the wavelet spectra in terms of ENSO or the monsoons. Some models suggest an intensification of the annual cycle but this signal is fairly model-dependent. Thus, large model uncertainty still exists with respect to the future behaviour of climate in the low latitudes. This has to be taken into account when addressing climate change signals in individual model experiments and ensembles.
In this paper we report on the approach and findings of the research partnership "Prospects for decentralised infrastructures amid the competing demands of competition, climate protection and quality (INFRAFUTUR)." INFRAFUTUR stands for the future of decentralised infrastructures. We asked which strategies would be appropriate to safeguard supply and disposal services in the energy, water/sewage and waste sectors to private households and business on an enduring basis. In doing so, we focused our analysis on municipal and mixed municipal-private enterprises as players.
Beitrag des Mobilitätssektors zur Erstellung des Klimaschutz-Rahmenprogramms der Region Hannover
(2008)
Durch zunehmenden Wettbewerb und steigende Anforderungen in den Bereichen Klimaschutz und Qualitätssicherung stellt sich für kommunale Versorgungsunternehmen immer öfter die Frage, wie
sie auch in Zukunft noch am Markt agieren können. Mit unterschiedlichen strategischen Maßnahmen kann die Daseinsvorsorge auf kommunaler Ebene gesichert und ausgebaut werden.
Im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums für Ernährung, Landwirtschaft und Verbraucherschutz hat das Wuppertal Institut zusammen mit dem Büro Ö-quadrat einen Tarifvorschlag für Strom hinsichtlich seiner Auswirkungen begutachtet. Zielsetzung dieses Gutachtens war es einerseits herauszuarbeiten, ob der Tarifvorschlag unter der Bedingung, dass die Einführung des Tarifs für den jeweiligen Stromanbieter insgesamt erlösneutral gestaltet wird, nachhaltig zu einer finanziellen Entlastung der einkommensschwachen Haushalte beitragen kann. Andererseits wurde analysiert, ob der Vorschlag auch mit Klimaschutzerfordernissen und einer Gesamtstrategie zum Umbau der Energieversorgung kompatibel ist, die eine Umstellung auf regenerative Energien beinhaltet sowie eine deutliche Steigerung der Endenergieeffizienz vorsieht. Ergebnis: Die verpflichtende Einführung von "Stromspartarifen" ist nicht geeignet, einkommensschwache Haushalte bei Energiepreissteigerungen zu entlasten und gibt keinen Anreiz zur Stromeinsparung. Das Gutachten weist auf eine Fülle von Schwächen bei den vorgeschlagenen Tarifmodellen hin.
Evaluation der "Serviceplattform Regionale Altbauinitiativen" : Evaluation AltbauNeu ; Endbericht
(2008)
Dieser Spartenband beinhaltet die wichtigsten Ergebnisse, die im Rahmen der Forschungspartnerschaft INFRAFUTUR in der Sparte Energie erarbeitet worden sind. In insgesamt 14 Kapiteln, die dem logischen Aufbau der Untersuchungen in der dreijährigen Partnerschaft folgen, werden für die Sparte Energie die Perspektiven dezentraler Infrastrukturen im Spannungsfeld von Wettbewerb, Klimaschutz und Qualität aufgezeigt. Schwerpunkt des Projektes war eine SWOT-Analyse, d.h. eine umfangreiche Analyse der Vor- und Nachteile einer dezentralen Organisation der Infrastrukturdienstleistungen sowie der Chancen und Gefahren für verschiedene kommunale Unternehmenstypen. Die Ergebnisse bildeten die Basis für die Strategieentwicklung, die in den Kapiteln 13 und 14 dargestellt wird. Um relevante Strategien für die beteiligten Praxispartner entwickeln zu können - trotz (zum Teil erheblicher) Unterschiede in den örtlichen und regionalen Gegebenheiten kommunaler Unternehmen der Energiewirtschaft - wurden drei idealtypische kommunale Unternehmenstypen als Referenzpunkt definiert.
Im Rahmen dieses Projektes wurde die Klimaschutzfunktion des Freiraumkonzepts "RegioGrün" der Region Köln-Bonn analysiert. So wurde einerseits die Entwicklung des nahraumorientierten Freizeitverkehrs in der Region untersucht und andererseits die Funktion der im Projektraum neu angelegten Wald- und
Grünflächen als Kohlenstoffsenken quantifiziert. Ferner wurde der Beitrag von RegioGrün zur lokalen Anpassung an veränderte Klimabedingungen analysiert.
The international climate negotiations have seen endless struggles between countries from South and North for almost 17 years, ever since the initiation of negotiations by the International Negotiation Committee (INC) for the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The 13th meeting of the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCCC and the 3rd meeting of the Conference of the Parties serving as the meeting of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol (COP 13 / CMP 3) held in Bali in December 2007 (the Bali conference) could mark the beginning of a rapprochement. Parties agreed on initiating a new "Ad-hoc working group on Long-Term Cooperative Action under the Convention" (AWG-LCA) that aims to negotiate a post-2012 agreement with participation of all parties, including the US and developing countries, by the end of 2009 at COP 15 / CMP 5 in Copenhagen. This article examines the outcomes of the Bali conference, focussing on the negotiations regarding post-2012, flexible mechanisms, financial mechanisms, technology transfer and deforestation. Finally, the article concludes that the Bali Conference saw a significant shift in the battle lines, a rearrangement of positions and alliances that might well announce a decisive new era in global climate policy and provides a real chance to agree on an effective and workable post-2012 agreement in Copenhagen.
Geschlechtergerechtigkeit als Basis für nachhaltige Klimapolitik : feministisches Hintergrundpapier
(2008)
In less than ten years, emissions trading has forged ahead as a climate policy instrument - from the setting of the agenda through the formulation of policy to the stage of implementation. This has happened at several policy levels: on the one hand, as international emissions trading in the framework of the Kyoto Protocol, and on the other hand as emissions trading for energy-intensive companies within the European Union. Not only because of the speed of the process, but also because emissions trading is generally being perceived as an effective means to avoid greenhouse gas emissions, ist introduction is mostly regarded as a success story. This claim is here critically examined with the help of a number of theoretical hypotheses borrowed from the field of multilevel governance research. The theoretical discussion is woven into a detailed descriptive-analytic account of the introduction of emissions trading, bringing out the most important players, conflicts and milestones in the process. What were the consequences of this rapid introduction for the interdependence of players and institutions in the multi-level policy system? To what extent was it accompanied with a transfer of authority from national governments to supranational or international institutions? Can we speak here of a further loss of sovereignty by national states in the age of globalisation? And has the introduction of emissions trading, as a new generation of climate policy instruments, brought about institutional changes in negotiation patternsand decision-making processes? This set of questions is being derived from the concept of multi-level governance which serves as the framework of analysis of this paper and is then being used to analyse fifteen theses in order to explain the complexity of the introduction of emissions trading and highlight problems and deficits in the negotiating processes. The aim of the paper is to give a answer to the question of whether the meteoric rise of the policy instrument may be described as a "success story".
Kommunaler Klimaschutz boomt
(2008)
Japan
(2008)
From Clean Development Mechanism to sectoral crediting approaches : way forward or wrong turn?
(2008)
Der Testlauf ist vorbei, jetzt wird es ernst: Der deutsche Emissionshandel ist als Teil des europäischen Systems etabliert. Nun muss er beweisen, ob er den großen Verursachern von CO2-Emissionen wirtschaftliche Anreize bieten kann, um ihren Ausstoß deutlich zu verringern. Was aber lehrt der Testlauf? Werden die gewünschten Effekte erzielt, der Kraftwerkspark klimafreundlich modernisiert, Einsparungen von Energie und Reduktionen von Emissionen eingeleitet? Fügt sich der Emissionshandel in andere Instrumente der Klimapolitik ein und kann er wichtige Impulse für die Weiterentwicklung eines internationalen Klimaschutzregimes geben? Ralf Schüle ist mit Wissenschaftlerinnen und Wissenschaftlern aus dem Wuppertal Institut sowie weiteren Autoren diesen Fragen nachgegangen. Sie analysieren die Erfahrungen der ersten EU-Handelsperiode und geben Hinweise auf die zukünftige Gestaltung des Emissionshandelssystems.
Praxisschock? - Die Genese der EU-Emissionshandelsrichtlinie und ihre klimapolitische Bedeutung
(2008)
In diesem Papier wird über den Ansatz und die Ergebnisse der Forschungspartnerschaft "Perspektiven dezentraler Infrastrukturen im Spannungsfeld von Wettbewerb, Klimaschutz und Qualität (INFRAFUTUR)" berichtet. INFRAFUTUR - das steht für die Zukunft der dezentralen Infrastrukturen. Es wurde danach gefragt, welche Strategien geeignet sind, um die Ver- bzw. Entsorgung von privaten Haushalten und der Wirtschaft mit Dienstleistungen in den Sparten Energie, Wasser/Abwasser und Abfall zukunftsfähig zu sichern. Dabei konzentrierte sich die Analyse auf kommunalwirtschaftliche Unternehmen als Akteure.
The Wuppertal Institute for Climate, Environment and Energy and the UNEP/Wuppertal Institute Collaborating Centre on Sustainable Consumption and Production (CSCP) set out to analyse Japanese dematerialisation and resource efficiency strategies within the 3R scope and searched for options of enhancing resource effi ciency strategies, commissioned by the German Federal Environment Agency. A further task of the project was to initiate a policy dialogue including stakeholders, academia, politics and Japanese and European environmental experts. The following paper summarises findings from the analyses, the results of the policy dialogues (Experts Workshop, 6 June 2007 and International Conference, 6 November 2007) and draws conclusions for a potential Japanese-European cooperation on the resource efficiency issue.
Sinnvolle Weiterentwicklung oder Holzweg? : Sektorale Ansätze für den Clean Development Mechanism
(2008)
Stinkers stay out? : Traffic restriction zones as an instrument to reduce local air pollution
(2008)
Innovation and diffusion of car-sharing for sustainable consumption and production of urban mobility
(2008)
What is the significance of the 2007 United Nations Climate Change Conference in Bali? The formal outcomes, especially the "Bali Action Plan", are described and commented on, along with the challenges for negotiating a post-2012 agreement in Copenhagen during 2008 and 2009. The article concludes that the outcome of the Bali meeting is insufficient when compared to the nature of the challenge posed by climate change. However, it can nevertheless be considered a success in terms of "Realpolitik" in paving the way for the negotiations ahead, because some real changes have been discerned in the political landscape. The challenges for the road towards Copenhagen are manifold: the sheer volume and complexity of the issues and the far-reaching nature of decisions such as differentiation between non-Annex I countries pose significant challenges in themselves, while the dependency on the electoral process in the USA introduces a high element of risk into the whole process. The emergence of social justice as an issue turns climate policy into an endeavour to improve the world at large - thereby adding to the complexity. And, finally, the biggest challenge is the recognition that the climate problem requires a global solution, that Annex I and non-Annex I countries are mutually dependent on each other and that only cooperation regarding technology in combination with significant financial support will provide the chance to successfully tackle climate change.
Der grüne Schein
(2008)