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The economic assessment of low-carbon energy options is the primary step towards the design of policy portfolios to foster the green energy economy. However, today these assessments often fall short of including important determinants of the overall cost-benefit balance of such options by not including indirect costs and benefits, even though these can be game-changing. This is often due to the lack of adequate methodologies.
The purpose of this paper is to provide a comprehensive account of the key methodological challenges to the assessment of the multiple impacts of energy options, and an initial menu of potential solutions to address these challenges.
The paper first provides evidence for the importance of the multiple impacts of energy actions in the assessment of low-carbon options.
The paper identifies a few key challenges to the evaluation of the co-impacts of low-carbon options and demonstrates that these are more complex for co-impacts than for the direct ones. Such challenges include several layers of additionality, high context dependency, and accounting for distributional effects.
The paper continues by identifying the key challenges to the aggregation of multiple impacts including the risks of overcounting while taking into account the multitude of interactions among the various co-impacts. The paper proposes an analytical framework that can help address these and frame a systematic assessment of the multiple impacts.
Der Gebäudebereich steht nicht nur aufgrund seiner Umweltwirkungen vor großen Herausforderungen. Bei der Einhaltung der Klima- und Nachhaltigkeitsziele spielen auch die mit langen Lebens- und Nutzungsdauern von Gebäuden einhergehenden Investitionszyklen eine entscheidende Rolle. Politische und planerische Maßnahmen werden bislang hauptsächlich im Rahmen von Effizienz- und Konsistenzstrategien entwickelt und umgesetzt, um Umweltwirkungen zu minimieren. Die Suffizienzstrategie erfährt im Vergleich dazu eine deutlich geringere Aufmerksamkeit. Ziel dieses Vorhabens ist es deshalb, Suffizienz für den Gebäudebereich zu definieren, geeignete technische und organisatorische Ansätze zu ihrer Unterstützung zu identifizieren sowie Vorschläge zu ihrer Verankerung in politischen und rechtlichen Rahmenbedingungen und Instrumenten zu erarbeiten und exemplarisch darzustellen.
Practices and research on measuring traditionally urban sustainability abound, therefore the challenge now is related to how the urban carbon issues are included into current measuring methods, thus there is a need to develop methods for measuring urban low-carbon sustainability. In this paper, a simple method, which is based on low-carbon sustainability index, is developed. The overall urban low-carbon sustainability index is the weighted sum of 11 single indices, and each single index is defined as the indicator assessing the development level against the baseline. The baseline is often the criteria or the minimum requirement of low-carbon sustainability. Case studies in four Chinese cities have put this method into practice, and the results show that all four selected cities fail to pass the testing of sensible low-carbon sustainability rule and they are all in weakly low-carbon sustainable development. Although the four cities have made great progress in their capacity building on pollution control and their capacities on wastewater treatment, main pollutants' removal and household and hazardous wastes treatment are enough to meet the needs of local development, they are all facing the great challenges on using of sustainable energy, offsetting of CO2 emissions and adoptions of nature-based solutions. The method developed by this research is a useful tool for decision makers identifying whether the local development is not on a low-carbon sustainable path.
Energy service companies (ESCOs) play crucial role in building energy efficiency retrofit sector. However limited access to green financing has prevented ESCOs in their expansions in China. This paper, based on a survey of 469 samples and on-site visiting to and interviewing relevant 50 actors of ESCOs, financial institutions and local housing authorities, identifies main barriers of accessing to green financing at both systemic policy level and operational meso and micro level in China, and analyzes good practices at local level that overcome the barriers. The paper concludes that, although there are barriers existing at the policy level in China, substantial attentions and priorities should be given to take actions for overcoming the barriers existed at the operational meso and micro level. The paper suggests that the good practices of capacity building for ESCOs and local financial sector, intensifying participation of intermediate organizations or facilitators and diversifying financial sources and funding mechanisms and models that emerge from the local level should be disseminated in China.
Creating statistics for China's building energy consumption using an adapted energy balance sheet
(2019)
China's regular energy statistics does not include the building sector, and data on building energy demand is included in other types of energy consumption in the Energy Balance Sheet (EBS). Therefore data on building energy demand is not collected based on statistics, but rather calculated or estimated by various approaches in China. This study aims at developing and testing China's building energy statistics by applying an adapted EBS. The advantage of the adapted EBS is that statistical data is from the regular statistical system and no additional statistical efforts are needed. The research result shows that the adapted EBS can be included in China regular energy statistical system and can be standardized in a transparent way. Testing of the adapted EBS shows that China's building energy demand has shown an annual increase of 7.6% since 2001, and a lower contribution to the total energy demand as compared to the developed world. There is also a close link to lifestyle and living standard while industrial energy demand is mainly driven by economy and decoupling of building energy demand with increasing of building floor area, this is due to a considerable improvement of building energy efficiency. The adapted EBS creates a method for China conducting statistics of building energy consumption at the sector level in a uniform way and serves as the basis for any sound building energy efficiency policy decisions.
Energy sufficiency is one of the three energy sustainability strategies, next to energy efficiency and renewable energies. We analyse to what extent European governments follow this strategy, by conducting a systematic document analysis of all available European National Energy and Climate Plans (NECPs) and Long-Term Strategies (LTSs). We collect and categorise a total of 230 sufficiency-related policy measures, finding large differences between countries. We find most sufficiency policies in the transport sector, when classifying also modal shift policies to change the service quality of transport as sufficiency policies. Types of sufficiency policy instruments vary considerably from sector to sector, for instance the focus on financial incentives and fiscal instruments in the mobility sector, information in the building sector, and financial incentive/tax instruments in cross-sectoral application. Regulatory instruments currently play a minor role for sufficiency policy in the national energy and climate plans of EU member states. Similar to energy efficiency in recent decades, sufficiency still largely referred to as micro-level individual behaviour change or necessary exogenous trends that will need to take place. It is not treated yet as a genuine field of policy action to provide the necessary framework for enabling societal change.
On the pathway to climate neutrality, EU member states are obliged to submit national energy and climate plans (NECPs) with planned policies and measures for decarbonization until 2030 and long-term strategies (LTSs) for further decarbonization until 2050. We analysed the 27 NECPs and 15 LTSs submitted by October 2020 using an interrater method. This paper focuses on energy sufficiency policies and measures in the transport sector.
We found a total of 236 sufficiency policy measures with more than half of them (53 %) in the transport/mobility sector. Additionally, we found 41 measures that address two or more sectors (cross-sectoral measures). From the explicit sufficiency measures within the transport sector, 82 % aim at modal shift. A reduction of transport volumes is much less addressed. Countries plan to use mainly fiscal and economic instruments. Those are in many cases investments in infrastructure of low-carbon transport modes and taxation instruments. Plans on decarbonisation measures are also frequently mentioned. The majority of cross-sectoral measures are carbon taxes or tax reforms, also economic instruments.
On the one hand it is encouraging that Member States strongly emphasize the transport sector in their NECPs and LTSs - at least quantitatively and concerning sufficiency measures - because this sector has been the worst-performing in climate mitigation so far. On the other hand, the measures described seem not sufficient to reach ambitious climate targets, and we doubt that the presented set of policy instruments will get the transport sector on track to mitigate greenhouse gas emissions in the necessary extent.
Impact chains are used in many different fields of research to depict the various impacts of an activity and to visualize the system in which this activity is embedded. Research has not yet conceptualized impact chains specifically for energy sufficiency policies. We develop such a concept based on current evaluation approaches and extend these by adding qualitative elements such as success factors and barriers. Furthermore, we offer two case studies in which we test this concept with the responsible climate action managers. We also describe options for integrating these impact chains into different types of energy models, which are key tools in policy consulting.
Energy Efficiency First (EEF) is an established principle for European Union (EU) energy policy design. It highlights the exploitation of demand-side resources and prioritizes cost-effective options from the demand-side over other options from a societal cost-benefit perspective. However, the involvement of multiple decision-makers makes it difficult to implement. Therefore, we propose a flexible decision-tree framework for applying the EEF principle based on a review of relevant areas and examples. In summary, this paper contributes to applying the EEF principle by defining and distinguishing different types of cases - (1) policy-making, and (2) system planning and investment - identifying the most common elements, and proposing a decision-tree framework that can be flexibly constructed based on the elements for different cases. Finally, we exemplify the application of this framework with two example cases: (1) planning for demand-response in the power sector, and (2) planning for a district heating system.
Research on environmental behaviour is often overlooked in literature on regime destabilization in energy transitions. This study addresses that gap by focusing on socio-political and demographic factors shaping support for carbon regime destabilization policies in one of the most carbon-intensive regions of Europe. Carbon-intensive industries, especially coal mining and coal-based power generation, are often concentrated in a few carbon-intensive regions. Therefore, decarbonization actions will affect those regions particularly strongly. Correspondingly, carbon-intensive regions often exert significant political influence on the two climate mitigation policies at the national level. Focusing on Poland, we investigate socio-political and demographic factors that correlate with the approval or rejection of the two climate mitigation policies: increasing taxes on fossil fuels such as oil, gas, and coal and using public money to subsidize renewable energy such as wind and solar power in Poland and its carbon-intensive Silesia region. Using logistic regression with individual-level data derived from the 2016 European Social Survey (ESS) and the 2014 Chapel Hill Expert Survey (CHES), we find party-political ideology to be an important predictor at the national level but much less so at the regional level. Specifically, voting for right-wing party is not a divisive factor for individual support of the two climate mitigation policies either nationally or regionally. More interestingly, populism is a strong factor in support of increasing taxes on fossil fuel in the carbon-intensive Silesia region but is less important concerning in support of using public money to subsidize renewable energy in Poland overall. These results show the heterogeneity of right-wing party and populism within the support for the two climate mitigation policies. Socio-demographic factors, especially age, gender, education level, employment status, and employment sector, have even more complex and heterogeneous components in support of the two climate mitigation policies at the national and regional levels. Identifying the complex socio-political and demographic factors of climate mitigation policies across different national versus carbon-intensive regional contexts is an essential step for generating in situ decarbonization strategies.
In Germany, the number of renewable energy prosumers has increased rapidly since 2000. However, the development of prosumers has faced and will continue to face various economic, social, and technological challenges, which have triggered the emergence of a number of innovative business models (BM). This paper enriches the empirical basis for prosumer-oriented BMs by investigating two BM innovations in Germany (P2P electricity trading and aggregation of small-size prosumers) drawing on business model and socio-technical transition theories. A mix of qualitative data collection methods, including document analysis and semi-structured expert interviews, was applied. We found that while both BMs can potentially address the challenges associated with renewable energy prosumer development in Germany, small-scale prosumers’ participation in both BMs has been limited so far. We identified various internal and external drivers and barriers for scaling up these BMs for prosumer development in Germany. Despite these barriers, both aggregation and centralized P2P targeting prosumers may potentially be also taken up by incumbent market actors such as utilities. Decentralized P2P on the other hand still faces significant internal and external barriers for upscaling. Based on the analysis, the paper provides policy recommendations with respect to the identified drivers and barriers. From a theoretical perspective, our findings provide further evidence to challenge the dichotomous understanding of niche actors and incumbents, the latter of which are often theorized to be resistant to radical innovations.
While digital technologies hold significant transformational potential, anecdotal evidence suggests that the digital transformation might not be directed towards sustainable development sufficiently. Drawing on a modified and extended version of the framework proposed by Wanzenböck et al. (2020), we explore the cases of the circular economy and the transition towards a sustainable energy system in the twin transition. Making use of insights from 20 expert interviews and two in-depth interviews, we aim to gain a first careful indication of the convergence/divergence in societal views on key problems and solutions across different dimensions (technological, economic, socio-cultural, regulatory) and derive insights for integrated policy-making. Thereby the study contributes to bridging the existing gap between mission-oriented policies and the twin transition. Overall, our first insights indicate that while showing high similarities in the structure of problems and solutions across cases, the variety in wickedness (contestation, complexity, uncertainty) calls for differentiated policy-making: Significant parts of the relatively young twin transition might be in a state of disorientation where societal views on problems and solutions diverge. This would require policy-makers to follow a "discovery-mode" (basic research, experiments and monitoring) with only selected diffusion-focused strategies. Further, we show that missions in the twin transition require highly flexible policy-making as different approaches need to be applied simultaneously. Finally, there are several options for exploiting synergies in policy-making due to some overlapping characteristics as well as learning opportunities between cases. We believe that particularly our holistic perspective on the twin transition can yield substantial guidance for researchers and policy-makers in the field.
After two weeks of negotiations, climate diplomats completed the implementation of the Protocol, refined some of its instruments for implementation and agreed on processes for moving forward beyond the first Kyoto commitment period. The report by the Wuppertal Institute provides an overview and assessment of the agreements reached in Montreal.
Purpose - This paper sets out to tackle the issue of climate change from a business perspective. It seeks to discuss why it is important to take climate change considerations into account in business decisions, how this can be done and what further action is required from managers and business scholars.
Design/methodology/approach - The paper describes ways of reducing emissions and adapting to climate change that can be implemented by any business. As an illustration, the proposed climate strategy of a large European utility company, RWE, is provided.
Findings - There are numerous ways to reduce emissions within business operations, along the supply chain and surrounding product usage and disposal. Climate-proofing operations is also becoming increasingly pertinent to businesses.
Research limitations/implications - New ways have to be found yet in order to take emission reductions to a more ambitious level by altering patterns of production and consumption.
Practical implications - The paper discusses how businesses can reduce their carbon footprint and anticipate changes in the physical and political environment related to climate change.
Originality/value - The paper is of value to managers who, today, are expected not only to reduce emissions from operations, but also to gain an awareness of the physical, political and social risks stemming from the impacts of climate change.
Der Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) des Kyoto-Protokolls hat eine zweifache Zielsetzung. Erstens soll damit den Industrieländern erlaubt werden, in emissionssparende Projekte in Entwicklungsländern zu investieren und sich die so erzielte Emissionsreduktion auf ihre Kyoto-Ziele anzurechnen. Denn dort sind Emissionsreduktionen oft kostengünstiger zu erzielen als in Industrieländern. Zweitens sollen die CDM-Projekte zur nachhaltigen Entwicklung der Gastgeberländer beitragen. Inzwischen sind weltweit über 2.000 CDM-Projekte genehmigt und weitere Tausende sind beantragt. Der Mechanismus hat damit eine Dimension erreicht, in der er wesentliche Wirkungen auslösen kann - zum Positiven oder zum Negativen. Laut Kyoto-Protokoll sind die beiden oben genannten Ziele gleichrangig. Es wird jedoch nur der Aspekt der erzielten Emissionsreduktionen durch ein internationales Verfahren reguliert und überwacht. Die Entscheidung, ob ein Projekt zur nachhaltigen Entwicklung beiträgt, obliegt allein den Gastgeberländern, die bisher jegliche Vorschläge, auch für diese Frage ein internationales Verfahren einzurichten, abgelehnt hatten. Jedes Entwicklungsland hat daher ganz eigene Kriterien für die Bewertung der Nachhaltigkeit seiner Projekte entwickelt, doch meist ohne die erforderlichen Kapazitäten, um Projekte wirklich zu prüfen.
Die hier vorgestellte Diplomarbeit von Bea Wittger untersucht diese Problematik am Beispiel Brasilien. Brasilien beheimatet weltweit die drittmeisten CDM-Projekte und hat den Ruf, ein besonders gründliches Genehmigungsverfahren durchzuführen. Doch auch in der brasilianischen Zivilgesellschaft wird teils harsche Kritik am CDM geübt. Die Diplomarbeit wurde an der Universität zu Köln vorgelegt und von Wolfgang Sterk betreut. Sie nimmt eine detaillierte Analyse der brasilianischen Genehmigungsverfahren und -praxis vor, erstens anhand ihrer inhärenten Konsistenz und Stringenz und zweitens anhand von zwei Projektbeispielen.
The ambition to reach climate-neutral energy systems requires profound energy transitions. Various scenario studies exist which present different options to reach that goal. In this paper, key strategies for the transition to climate neutrality in Germany are identified through a meta-analysis of published studies, including scenarios which achieve at least a 95 % greenhouse gas emissions reduction by 2050 compared to 1990. It has been found that a reduction in energy demand, an expansion of domestic wind and solar energy, increased use of biomass as well as the importation of synthetic energy carriers are key strategies in the scenarios, with nuclear energy playing no role, and carbon capture and storage playing a very limited role. Demand-side solutions that reduce the energy demand have a very high potential to diminish the significant challenges of other strategies, which are all facing certain limitations regarding their sustainable potential. The level and and type of demand reductions differ significantly within the scenarios, especially regarding the options of reducing energy service demand.
Moderne Gesellschaften sind in allen Lebensbereichen von Strom abhängig. Längere Stromausfälle oder gar ein Blackout könnten zu einer Gefährdung der öffentlichen Sicherheit führen. Um dies zu verhindern, gewinnt das Konzept der Resilienz an Bedeutung bei der Ausgestaltung von Energiesystemen. Resiliente Energiesysteme sollen Störungen aller Art "aushalten" können und ihre Systemdienstleistungen weiterhin erbringen. Im Zuge der Energietransition wird das Energiesystem dezentraler und gilt aufgrund verschiedener Charakteristika als Energie-Resilienz fördernd. Kleine Erzeugungsanlagen in der Nähe zu den Verbrauchern mit einer hohen räumlichen Dispersion und einer hohen Diversifizierung der Energieträger sorgen für geringe Schäden im Fall eines Anlagenausfalls. Die Kommunen als Orte dezentraler Stromerzeugung gewinnen an Bedeutung und können durch Entscheidungen die Resilienz der Stromversorgung beeinflussen.
Ziel der Arbeit ist es, die Rolle von Energie-Resilienz in den kommunalen Strategien anhand von zwei Kommunen im Ruhrgebiet, Unna und Bergkamen, durch dezentrale Stromerzeugungsstrukturen zu analysieren. Dazu wurden qualitative Interviews mit den Bürgermeistern der Kommunen geführt und mit der Inhaltsanalyse nach Mayring (2002) ausgewertet. Um die raumspezifischen Besonderheiten dieses altindustriellen Gebiets durch die Energietransition herauszuarbeiten, wurde die Multi-Level-Perspektive nach Geels (2002) aus der Transition-Forschung angewendet und um den spezifischen räumlichen Kontext der Kommunen erweitert. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass die Existenz kommunaler Stadtwerke mit eigener Stromerzeugung in beiden Kommunen als maßgeblicher Energie-Resilienz steigernder Faktor gewertet werden kann. Jedoch ist Energie-Resilienz keineswegs als Ziel von Seiten der Kommunen existent, vielmehr geht es um Einnahmen und Wertschöpfung, die durch Stadtwerke in der Kommune verbleiben. Als wichtigste hemmende Faktoren stellten sich Richtungswechsel in der Energiepolitik auf höheren politischen Ebenen heraus sowie der Mangel an verfügbaren Flächen für dezentrale Stromerzeugungsanlagen. In Bergkamen führt zusätzlich eine Pfadabhängigkeit durch die Bergbau-Tradition zu Widerstand gegen Windkraftanlagen. Somit finden durch die Stadtwerke einerseits Energie-Resilienz steigernde Handlungsweisen statt, andererseits werden diese durch hemmende Faktoren beschränkt. Vorhandene Chancen und Potenziale bleiben ungenutzt.
Exnovation und Verkehrswende : vom Automobilitätsregime zu einer nachhaltigen urbanen Mobilität
(2023)
Der Verkehrssektor ist das Sorgenkind beim Klimaschutz. Um die Klimaschutzziele zu erreichen, sind ein rascher und tiefgreifender Wandel beim Verkehr und insgesamt weniger Autoverkehr nötig. In der Verkehrspolitik werden dazu meist innovationsorientierte Strategien verfolgt. Solange das Auto aber seinen privilegierten Status als bevorzugtes Verkehrsmittel behält, wird eine Verlagerung auf innovative und nachhaltige Alternativen verhindert.
Alina Wetzchewald untersucht hier, ob und wie "Exnovation" - also die Beendigung nichtnachhaltiger Praktiken - eine urbane Verkehrswende befördern kann, sodass sich nachhaltige Innovationen und Alternativen in der Folge besser etablieren können. Die Autorin begründet die Notwendigkeit von Exnovation, erarbeitet theoriebasiert Erklärungsansätze und untersucht Exnovation am Fall der Stadt Oslo. Im Ergebnis kann sie konkrete Empfehlungen zur aktiven Gestaltung der urbanen Verkehrswende durch Exnovation ableiten.
Das Ziel einer urbanen Verkehrswende ist klar definiert: mehr Fläche für städtisches Leben, weniger Lärm und klimaschädliche Emissionen und eine saubere Luft. Das bedeutet weniger Autoverkehr in den Städten und mehr Wege zu Fuß, mit dem Fahrrad, dem Tretroller oder mit dem öffentlichen Verkehr. Dabei reicht es nicht aus nur auf Innovationen und attraktive Alternativen zu setzen - es braucht auch Exnovation, also restriktive und reduzierende Ansätze für den Autoverkehr.
Dieser Zukunftsimpuls zeigt, wie die urbane Verkehrswende durch Exnovation beschleunigt und richtungssicher umgesetzt werden kann, welche Hemmnisse es bei bisher umgesetzten deutschen und europäischen Projekten gibt und welche Strategie- und Handlungsempfehlungen sich daraus ableiten lassen.
The objectives of the urban mobility transition have been clearly set out: gaining more space for urban living, reducing noise and emissions that have a negative impact on the climate and improving air quality. That means less traffic in cities and more trips made using environmentally-friendly modes of transport - i.e., walking, cycling or foot scooters or public transport. In transport policy, the focus is generally on innovative approaches to shaping the mobility transition.
This paper aims to explain the concept of exnovation in the context of the urban mobility transition and to underpin it using specific practical examples. In the course of this process, it is intended to identify the obstacles that stand in the way of rolling out the concept on an area-wide basis in order to deduce strategies and courses of action for expanding the concept in the future.
The transformation of urban mobility systems causes financial costs for the procurement and operation of innovative products and services and for the adaptation of existing infrastructure. While public budgets are limited, investments in infrastructure and transport services compete against other spending priorities, and private investors often are reluctant to invest into sustainable transport projects. Thus, cities need to seek additional funding and financing options and to develop business models to attract private sector investments in the development of the urban transport system. Moreover, financing schemes should cover the entire SUMP (Sustainable Urban Mobility Planning) cycle, starting from planning, to project implementation and procurement up to the operation and maintenance of services and infrastructures.
This requires the blending of different revenue sources, including:
project related revenue sources such as public transport fares and the lease of advertising space in buses;
the extension of the local tax base, for example through the introduction of road user charges and parking fees or the use of value capture mechanisms;
National, bilateral, and European grants;
Debt financing through loans and other instruments such as issuing green bonds. Finally, a prudential engagement of the private sector in infrastructure development and service provision can reduce the direct burden on public budgets while enhancing service quality. The applicability of specific financing options critically depends on the national legislative environment. Many of the instruments and case examples presented here may not be transferred to other Member States due to the different distribution of responsibilities and powers between the political levels in the Member States. This report, however, can inspire the search for potential funding and financing sources and is therefore aimed not only at local and regional authorities but also at decisionmakers at the national level. Still, whether a specific instrument can be used in a Member State needs to be assessed on a case-by-case base.
This paper explores how the European Commission promotes the concept of Sustainable Urban Mobility Planning (SUMP) among European cities. Despite the strong uptake of the SUMP concept, mobility-related problems persist in European municipalities. Linking theoretical approaches to understand the diffusion of policies with empirical findings from working with cities in the SUMP context, this article explores channels of policy diffusion and investigates shortcomings related to the respective approaches. Studies on the diffusion, the transfer and the convergence of policies identify formal hierarchy, coercion, competition, learning and networking, and the diffusion of international norms as channels for policy transfer. The findings which are presented in this paper are twofold: First, the paper finds evidence that the Commission takes different roles and uses all mechanisms in parallel, albeit with different intensity. It concludes that the approaches to explain policy diffusion are not competing or mutually exclusive but are applied by the same actor to address different aspects of a policy field, or to reach out to different actors. Second, the article provides first evidence of factors that limit the mechanisms' abilities to directly influence urban mobility systems and mobility behaviour.
European coal mining regions face massive transformational challenges. The necessity of climate protection only intensifies a trend, prevalent in all of Europe: coal mining has been losing its economic importance over the last decades. Fewer and fewer people are employed in the sector. Coal regions face the challenge of how to facilitate a just transition, and which perspectives to develop for a future beyond coal.
Against this background this study analyses the current situation in four key European coal mining regions, namely: Aragon in Spain, Lusatia in Germany, Silesia in Poland and Western Macedonia in Greece. The study provides a brief summary of the regions' socio-economic structure, including the respective role of coal mining. An assessment of how existing European structural instruments, specifically the European Structural and Investment Funds (the ESI Funds) are utilised in the region, forms the core of the study.
Im Rahmen des Verbundprojekts "Transformationsprozesse für nachhaltige und wettbewerbsfähige Wirtschafts- und Industriestrukturen in NRW im Kontext der Energiewende" wurde eine retrospektive Fallstudie zum Transformationsprozess durchgeführt. Zielsetzung war es, Charakteristiken zu entwickeln, wie relevante Transformationsprozesse beschreiben werden können und speziell Treiber und Hemmnisse von Transformationsprozesse zu identifizieren. Dabei ging es explizit darum, solche Charakteristiken zu finden, die für industrielle Transformation innerhalb der deutschen Energiewende für Unternehmen und Regionen relevant sind.
Die deutschen Braun- und Steinkohlekraftwerke produzieren 40 % des deutschen Stroms - sind aber für 80 % der Treibhausgasemissionen in diesem Sektor verantwortlich. Ein sukzessiver Ausstieg aus der Kohleverstromung kann daher einen entscheidenden Beitrag leisten, die deutschen Klimaziele zu erreichen und den Pfad zur Einhaltung der Klimaziele von Paris offen zu halten. Vor diesem Hintergrund hat sich in den letzten Jahren in Deutschland eine Debatte um einen möglichen nationalen Kohleausstieg entsponnen.
Der Naturschutzbund Deutschland (NABU) hat das Wuppertal Institut daher beauftragt, zentrale wissenschaftliche Studien und politische Positionspapiere zum Thema Kohleausstieg zu analysieren. In der nun vorliegenden Metastudie fassen die Autoren den aktuellen Diskussionsstand zu wichtigen Eckpfeilern eines beschleunigten Kohleausstiegs in Deutschland zusammen. Analysiert wurden insbesondere Aussagen zur klimapolitischen Notwendigkeit und zur energiewirtschaftlichen Machbarkeit unterschiedlicher Zeithorizonte eines Kohleausstiegs sowie Optionen für eine sozialverträgliche Gestaltung des damit einhergehenden Strukturwandels.
Ohne Wissenschaft kein Kohleausstieg: Techno-ökonomische Fakten, aber auch sozialwissenschaftliche Expertise sind vonnöten, um Alternativen zur Kohleverstromung zu entwickeln, Perspektiven für die Bergbauregionen aufzuzeigen und zwischen Interessensgruppen zu vermitteln. Zumal es nicht der letzte Ausstieg sein wird, den uns die nötige Energiewende abverlangt.
Climate researchers agree that anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions significantly contribute to climate change, and that radical measures to reduce greenhouse gas emissions and to adapt to the impacts of no longer avoidable climate change are needed. The German Federal Government with its Climate Protection Plan 2050 reinforced its target to reduce Germany's greenhouse gas emissions by 80 to 95 percent compared with 1990. The achievement of these targets requires nothing less than a fundamental transformation of spatial planning.
In the paper a methodology to scientifically assess the likely impacts of possible combinations of policies or strategies to achieve the energy transition, i.e. to reduce the greenhouse gas emissions of urban mobility and transport is proposed and demonstrated, using the Ruhr Area, the largest conurbation in Germany, as an example.
The results of the policies examined so far can be summarised as follows: Push measures as high energy prices, speed limits or reduction of the number of lanes of main roads are more effective in reducing greenhouse gas emissions than pull measures as the promotion of cycling, walking, electric cars or public transport. Between policies or policy packages there can be positive or negative synergies, i.e. the impacts of measures can reinforce or weaken each other. The results show that even with ambitious policies the greenhouse gas emission targets of the national and state governments will not be achieved and that more radical policies are needed.
The international climate negotiations have seen endless struggles between countries from South and North for almost 17 years, ever since the initiation of negotiations by the International Negotiation Committee (INC) for the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC). The 13th meeting of the Conference of the Parties to the UNFCCC and the 3rd meeting of the Conference of the Parties serving as the meeting of the Parties to the Kyoto Protocol (COP 13 / CMP 3) held in Bali in December 2007 (the Bali conference) could mark the beginning of a rapprochement. Parties agreed on initiating a new "Ad-hoc working group on Long-Term Cooperative Action under the Convention" (AWG-LCA) that aims to negotiate a post-2012 agreement with participation of all parties, including the US and developing countries, by the end of 2009 at COP 15 / CMP 5 in Copenhagen. This article examines the outcomes of the Bali conference, focussing on the negotiations regarding post-2012, flexible mechanisms, financial mechanisms, technology transfer and deforestation. Finally, the article concludes that the Bali Conference saw a significant shift in the battle lines, a rearrangement of positions and alliances that might well announce a decisive new era in global climate policy and provides a real chance to agree on an effective and workable post-2012 agreement in Copenhagen.
What is necessary to reach net zero emissions in the transport sector on a global level? To keep limiting global warming to 1.5° C within reach, the world has to decarbonise by mid-century, with every sector contributing as much as possible as soon as possible. This paper identifies what has to be done in road transport, aviation, and shipping to achieve net zero emission in the transport sector.
For this purpose, it first sets the scene by providing an overview of the origins and impacts of the concept of net zero emissions in international climate policy as well as of the current state and future prospects of global transport emissions using currently available scenarios for low-emission and net zero transport.
While for staying below 1.5° C, the basic approach to reducing transport emissions remains unchanged from what has been suggested in the past, the set, intensity and pace of actions as to shift fundamentally. Without first drastically reducing traffic volume and shifting transport demand to low-emission modes, reaching net zero transport will not be feasible: the amount of additional electricity required to fully electrify the sector with renewable energy is otherwise just too huge.
After portraying key instruments for achieving net zero emissions in land transport, aviation, and shipping, this paper identifies key barriers for net zero transport. Based on this analysis, the authors recommend the following to be able to move transport to net zero:
1. Adapt Decarbonisation Strategies to Different Transport Sub-sectors
2. Prioritise and Significantly Increase Investment in Zero-/low-carbon Infrastructure
3. Massively Invest in the Development and Roll out of Zero-/low-emission Technologies
4. Focus on a Just Transition to Overcome Social and Political Barriers
5. Increase International Support and Cooperation
Article 6.4 of the Paris Agreement establishes a new mechanism for Parties to cooperate in achieving their nationally determined contributions (NDCs). One key innovation of the Article 6.4 mechanism is its objective to "deliver an overall mitigation in global emissions" (Art. 6.4(d)). This report develops recommendations on how to implement this objective. A key difficulty lies in the fact that even basics of how the mechanism is supposed to function have so far not been clarified by the Parties. The report therefore first sketches out what has so far been agreed and discussed on the mechanism’s activity cycle. Second, as the concept of overall mitigation has so far also not been clearly defined by Parties, the report derives a working definition from the language that was agreed in the Paris Agreement. In the next step, the report provides a survey of the options to achieve overall mitigation that have so far been discussed in the relevant literature and in the Article 6 negotiations. Many of these options were developed in the context of the Kyoto mechanisms. The report therefore discusses to what extent the options are also applicable under the Paris Agreement or whether adjustments need to be made. In the following, the options that are applicable under the Agreement are assessed on the basis of a number of criteria. The report concludes with a summary of the main findings and recommendations.
The study analyses the country background, emissions trends, ongoing activities and barriers relating to the implementation of the Nationally Determined Contribution (NDC) of Ethiopia under the UNFCCC. A special emphasis is laid on further mitigation potentials in the fields of agriculture, forestry and low-emission transport.
The potential of natural gas as a bridging technology in low-emission road transportation in Germany
(2012)
Greenhouse gas emission reductions are at the centre of national and international efforts to mitigate climate change. In road transportation, many politically incentivised measures focus on increasing the energy efficiency of established technologies, or promoting electric or hybrid vehicles. The abatement potential of the former approach is limited, electric mobility technologies are not yet market-ready. In a case study for Germany, this paper focuses on natural gas powered vehicles as a bridging technology in road transportation. Scenario analyses with a low level of aggregation show that natural gas-based road transportation in Germany can accumulate up to 464 million tonnes of CO2-equivalent emission reductions until 2030 depending on the speed of the diffusion process. If similar policies were adopted EU-wide, the emission reduction potential could reach a maximum of about 2.5 billion tonnes of CO2-equivalent. Efforts to promote natural gas as a bridging technology may therefore contribute to significant emissions reductions.
The current global momentum for carbon pricing has lately produced innovative hybrids: carbon taxes allowing the use of offsets from emission sources not targeted by the carbon tax for compliance with the tax load. This study aims at filling the knowledge gap in existing literature by exploring the potential impacts of domestic offset components in carbon taxes on mitigation of national emissions, including the country examples Colombia, Mexico and South Africa.
The findings indicate that the use of offsets in carbon taxes may significantly influence mitigation of national emissions both positively and negatively. On the one hand, this model may result in real emission reductions from offset projects and positive spillover effects of efforts to reduce emissions from emission sources covered by the carbon tax to other emission sources. Furthermore, the offsetting component can be used as a bargaining chip in political negotiations facilitating the introduction of mitigation policies and measures and/or strengthening their ambition level. On the other hand, it also entails serious risks: Offsetting could compromise the environmental integrity of the carbon tax through low-quality offsets. Furthermore, offsets reduce incentives to curb emissions in the emission sources covered by the carbon tax, potentially leading to carbon lock-in effects. Moreover, an offsetting component could provoke opposition to further climate policies and measures for emission sources generating offsets, as replacing the offsetting component with mandatory emission reduction policies would eliminate revenues from offset credits. General opposition of stakeholder groups to the introduction of offsets may even hinder the introduction of carbon pricing instruments and offsetting altogether.
The study identifies options that could be employed to increase potential positive effects of introducing an offset component to a carbon tax and mitigate related risks, pointing to the country examples included, where appropriate.
Poor households in Germany and those that are close to the poverty line are more likely to suffer from increases in electricity costs. One consequence of this is the increasing number of cases in which the supplier disconnects a household's power. According to the Federal Network Agency (Bundesnetzagentur), a total of almost 359,000 interruptions of the electricity supply were caused in 2015 due to outstanding payments. In order to avoid disconnection from the electricity grid, more and more utility companies have begun to offer prepayment meters (PPMs) to their customers as a response to outstanding payments and a growing number of customers owing debts to their energy supplier. The phenomenon of an increasing number of households affected by energy poverty in Germany is new, and thus the number of PPMs is still low. As a result, experiences in this context are - compared to other countries (e.g. Great Britain) - far from extensive, and political awareness of the problem is low. This paper presents the findings of Germany's first scientific survey on experiences with the use of PPMs.
Prepaid-Stromzähler: Erfahrungen aus der NutzerInnen-Perspektive von Haushalten in Deutschland
(2018)
Energiearmut ist ein Phänomen, welches in Deutschland, wie auch in anderen Ländern des Globalen Nordens, in den letzten Jahren immer häufiger beobachtet werden kann. Zunehmend werden Prepaidzähler (engl. Prepayment Meter) von Energieunternehmen als Instrument eingesetzt, um KundInnen mit Zahlungsrückständen bzw. häufig auftretenden Zahlungsschwierigkeiten zu managen. Das Phänomen der Energiearmut in Deutschland ist relativ jung und damit die Anzahl der Prepaidzähler noch niedrig. Somit sind Erfahrungen in diesem Zusammenhang in Deutschland rar. Nachfolgend werden die Ergebnisse der ersten wissenschaftlichen Befragung von Haushalten mit Prepaidzählern in Deutschland (im Bundesland Nordrhein-Westfalen) analysiert. Dabei zeigt sich, dass Prepaid-Systeme für Strom für die betroffenen Haushalte mit erheblichen Alltagsveränderungen verbunden sind. Vorteilhaft ist, dass die Haushalte trotz bestehender Strom-Schulden weiterhin mit Energie versorgt werden können, dass sie über eine bessere Kostenkontrolle verfügen und dass sie Stromsparpotenziale erschließen können. Zu den wesentlichen Nachteilen zählen die hohen Kosten, der Aufwand für das Aufladen des Guthabens und dass Versorgungsunterbrechungen dennoch stattfinden, jedoch nicht erfasst werden. Insgesamt ergab die Studie eine hohe Zufriedenheit der Haushalte mit Prepaidzähler, es besteht jedoch Regulierungsbedarf seitens des Gesetzgebers in Deutschland.
This paper argues that, although Japan's and Germany's energy transition paths differ in detail, a trend towards decentralisation is clearly evident in both countries. Based on comprehensive screening, own stocktaking and the results of a stakeholder dialogue, this paper highlights the motivation for different local actors to enter the energy market in both countries. Although there are challenges to success in a market dominated by large energy companies, this paper argues that the benefits to local communities outweigh the efforts. Overall, it is shown that democratisation and the decentralisation of the energy system are suitable to facilitate a successful transformation process in both countries.
Nicht nur für den Klimaschutz führt an der Wärmewende kein Weg vorbei. Mittelfristig wird sie auch die Heizkosten senken. Kurzfristig sind allerdings erhöhte Investitionen erforderlich, die für alle tragbar sein müssen. Ein wichtiges Instrument ist dabei die kommunale Wärmeplanung.
Sie wird kommen und sie wird zu erheblichem Aufwand bei den kommunalen Gebietskörperschaften führen, aber den Bürgerinnen und Bürgern, Unternehmen und öffentlichen Einrichtungen auch Anleitung und Sicherheit für ihre Investitionen in zukunftsfähige Heizungssysteme bieten. Nach den bisherigen Planungen ist vorgesehen, dass seitens des Bundes ein Gesetz verabschiedet wird, welches die Länder verpflichten wird, flächendeckend eine kommunale Wärmeplanung zumindest für die mittleren und größeren Städte und Gemeinden vorzunehmen. Seitens der Länder wird diese Aufgabe dann an die Kommunen weitergegeben. Die Bundesländer Baden-Württemberg und Schleswig-Holstein haben bereits seit einiger Zeit Erfahrung mit diesem kommunalen Planungsinstrument. Der Gesetzentwurf auf Bundesebene wird noch für das zweite Quartal 2023 erwartet. Unabhängig davon sieht der Koalitionsvertrag der Landesregierung in Nordrhein-Westfalen vor, dass im laufenden Jahr 2023 der gesetzliche Ordnungsrahmen für die kommunale Wärmeplanung geschaffen wird. Der genaue Zeitplan steht somit noch nicht fest; klar ist aber, dass es in absehbarer Zeit zu einer Verpflichtung für die NRW-Kommunen kommen wird, solche Pläne zu erstellen. Es lohnt daher, sich bereits frühzeitig mit dem Thema zu befassen.
Making school-based GHG-emissions tangible by student-led carbon footprint assessment program
(2021)
Schools play an important role in achieving climate protection goals, because they lay the foundation of knowledge for a responsible next generation. Therefore, schools as institutions have a special role model function. Enabling schools to become aware of their own carbon footprint (CF) is an important prerequisite for being able to tap the substantial CO2 reduction potential. Aiming at the direct involvement of students in the assessment process, a new assessment tool was developed within the Schools4Future project that gives students the opportunity to determine their own school's CF. With this instrument the CO2 emissions caused by mobility, heating and electricity consumption as well as for food in the school canteen and for consumables (paper) can be recorded. It also takes into account existing renewable energy sources. Through the development of the tool, not only a monitoring instrument was established but also a concrete starting point from which students could take actions to reduce Greenhouse Gas (GHG) emissions. This paper presents the tool and its methods used to calculate the CF and compares it with existing approaches. A comparative case study of four pilot schools in Germany demonstrates the practicability of the tool and reveals fundamental differences between the GHG emissions.
Als die 15-jährige Greta Thunberg an einem Freitag im August 2018 vor dem schwedischen Parlamentsgebäude in Stockholm ihren einsamen Klimastreik begann, ahnte niemand, dass sie in den Folgejahren unter anderem auf zwei Weltklimakonferenzen und vor der UN-Vollversammlung als Repräsentantin der größten Jugendbewegung der Welt - Fridays for Future - vielbeachtete Reden halten würde. Das, was Greta Thunberg auf der Weltbühne der Politik gelungen ist, sollte auch klimaschutzengagierten Schülerinnen in der Kommunalpolitik ermöglicht werden. Sie sollten von Entscheidungsträgerinnen und Entscheidungsträgern gehört und ernst genommen werden. Um ihren Forderungen für klimafreundliche Schulen auch gegenüber Kommunalpolitikerinnen und Kommunalpolitikern mehr Nachdruck verleihen zu können, müssen sie aber auch gestärkt und qualifiziert werden. So die Kernanliegen des Projekts Schools4Future, welches vom Wuppertal Institut sowie dem Büro Ö-quadrat aus Freiburg durchgeführt und vom Bundesministerium für Wirtschaft und Klimaschutz gefördert wird.
Im Auftrag des Bundesministeriums für Ernährung, Landwirtschaft und Verbraucherschutz hat das Wuppertal Institut zusammen mit dem Büro Ö-quadrat einen Tarifvorschlag für Strom hinsichtlich seiner Auswirkungen begutachtet. Zielsetzung dieses Gutachtens war es einerseits herauszuarbeiten, ob der Tarifvorschlag unter der Bedingung, dass die Einführung des Tarifs für den jeweiligen Stromanbieter insgesamt erlösneutral gestaltet wird, nachhaltig zu einer finanziellen Entlastung der einkommensschwachen Haushalte beitragen kann. Andererseits wurde analysiert, ob der Vorschlag auch mit Klimaschutzerfordernissen und einer Gesamtstrategie zum Umbau der Energieversorgung kompatibel ist, die eine Umstellung auf regenerative Energien beinhaltet sowie eine deutliche Steigerung der Endenergieeffizienz vorsieht. Ergebnis: Die verpflichtende Einführung von "Stromspartarifen" ist nicht geeignet, einkommensschwache Haushalte bei Energiepreissteigerungen zu entlasten und gibt keinen Anreiz zur Stromeinsparung. Das Gutachten weist auf eine Fülle von Schwächen bei den vorgeschlagenen Tarifmodellen hin.
The German climate change programme (2000) identified the residential sector as one of the main sectors in which to achieve additional GHG reductions. Our case study compiles results of existing evaluations of the key policies and measures that were planned and introduced and carries out some own estimates of achievements. We show, which emission reductions and which instruments where planned and what was delivered until 2004.
Legal instruments such as the revised building code were introduced later than planned and their effects will - at least partly - fall behind expectations. Other legal instruments such as minimum energy performance standards for domestic appliances etc. were - in spite of the programme - not implemented yet.
On the other hand, substantial financial incentives were introduced. Especially schemes granting low-interest loans for building renovation were introduced. However tax subsidies for low-energy buildings were phased out.
In general we can conclude from our case study that Germany was not able to compensate for the slower or restricted implementation of legal instruments through the introduction of financial incentives. Particularly the efficient use of electricity has been left aside as almost no further policy action was taken since 2001.
Thus energy efficiency in the residential sector will not deliver the GHG reductions planned for in the German climate change programme until 2005. From our findings we draw conclusions and recommendations towards policy makers: Which lessons are to be learnt and what has to be done in order to fully harness EE potentials in residential sector as planned for 2010?
Die global gesehen größte Gesundheitsbedrohung des 21. Jahrhunderts ist der Klimawandel. Krankenhäuser müssen sich zwangsläufig vermehrt mit den Folgen des Klimawandels auseinandersetzen, wenn neue Krankheitserreger aus fernen Ländern auftreten oder wenn ältere Menschen, chronisch Kranke, Kinder oder anderweitig besonders betroffene Menschen an heißen Tagen mit bislang unerreichten Hitzerekorden dehydrieren mit der Folge von Herzkreislaufproblemen. Eine Untersuchung des Robert Koch-Instituts kommt zu dem Ergebnis, dass allein in den drei Sommern zwischen 2018 und 2020 in Deutschland über 19.000 Menschen aufgrund der Hitze gestorben sind.
Der Gesundheitssektor trägt aber auch wesentlich zur Klimakrise bei, indem er selbst für einen erheblichen Teil der klimaschädlichen Emissionen verantwortlich ist. Dieser Wuppertal Report zeigt einen Weg, wie Krankenhäuser perspektivisch Teil der Lösung der derzeit größten Transformationsherausforderung werden können. Dabei sind Krankenhäuser ein Mikrokosmos der Gesellschaft. In ihnen spiegelt sich förmlich alles, was das Leben einer Gesellschaft hinsichtlich der Herausforderung des Klimaschutzes ausmacht: Strom- und Wärmeversorgung, Mobilität, Ernährung, Ressourcenverbrauch und Abfall. Der vorliegende Wuppertal Report macht deutlich, dass Krankenhäuser als Reallabore des bevorstehenden Transformationsprozesses, hin zu einer klimagerechten und ressourcenleichten Gesellschaft verstanden werden können.
Das für die Krankenhausgesellschaft Nordrhein-Westfalen e. V. (KGNW) entwickelte Zielbild Klimaneutrales Krankenhaus gibt Krankenhäusern umsetzungsorientierte Hinweise darauf, wie sie sich auf den Weg zur Klimaneutralität begeben können:
Es identifiziert klimaschutzrelevante Handlungsfelder im Betrieb.
Es verdeutlicht, wie die KGNW die Krankenhäuser in NRW auf ihrem Weg in Richtung Klimaneutralität unterstützen kann.
Es motiviert, Klimaschutz als wichtiges Unternehmensziel aktiv anzugehen.
The widely recognised Energiewende, ("energy transition") in Germany has lost its original momentum. We therefore address the question of how the transition process to a new energy system can be reignited. To do so, we developed the "5Ds approach", which lays the groundwork for a process analysis and the identification of important catalysts and barriers. Focusing on the five major fields required for the energy transition, we analyse the effects of: (1) Decarbonisation: How can efficiency and renewable energies be expanded successfully? (2) Digitalisation: Which digital solutions facilitate this conversion and would be suitable as sustainable business models? (3) Decentralisation: How can potential decentralised energy and efficiency opportunities be developed? (4) Democratisation: How can participation be strengthened in order to foster acceptance (and prevent "yellow vest" protests, etc.)? (5) Diversification of service: Which services can make significant contributions in the context of flexible power generation, demand-side management, storage and grids? Our paper comes to the conclusion that German policy efforts in the "5D" fields have been implemented very differently. Particularly with regard to democratisation, the opportunities for genuine participation among the different social actors must be further strengthened to get the Energiewende back on track. New market models are needed to meet the challenges of the energy transition and to increase the performance of "5D" through economic incentives.
"400,000 new homes per year are needed in German cities." This figure has been cited repeatedly in political discussions, media, and statements of different groups for a couple of years now. Living space is needed to mitigate the (further) inordinate increase of rents in some cities and regions and to ease finding appropriate flats at affordable prices for low- and medium-income households. But how to activate investors and the real estate market?
Having the triangle of sustainability in mind with its ecologic, social and economic cornerstones the discussion - metaphorically spoken - currently pulls the three corners: Which should have the highest priority?
The economically driven most favourable solution is lowering the requirements for new buildings such as the energy performance to make building cheaper. The social perspective prefers an increase of public social housing investments regardless of efficiency standards. And the ecological side argues that a high performance is needed to reach energy and climate targets in the buildings sector.
Starting at this point of discussion, firstly, the paper reflects the assumptions behind the numbers of new homes needed against a sufficiency background.
Secondly, it presents current changes in German building policies: a new legislation for energy supply and efficiency is currently in preparation.
It discusses the potential to integrate sufficiency aspects in building policies, focussing specifically on the new regulation, financial incentives, and energy advice.
The paper analyses if and to what extent it is likely to balance the three cornerstones of sustainability by integrating sufficiency aspects into efficiency policies. Household experiences with prepayment meters are used as an example to illustrate the potential for tapping efficiency and sufficiency potentials in low-income households considering social, economic, and ecological aspects. Based on the identified (in)consistencies, thirdly, it suggests further development in German policies to make better use of synergies between the ecologic, social and economic demands on buildings.
More than 150 municipal utilities (so-called Stadtwerke) were established in Germany from the beginning of the millennium, bringing the total number of Stadtwerke currently established within the country to approximately 900. With responsibility for more than half of the supply of electricity, gas and heat in Germany, these Stadtwerke play a central role in the transformation of the energy sector, or Energiewende. In addition, due to their local and regional ties, Stadtwerke have a particular role to play in energy politics, the economy and across society. This article focuses on the motives behind, and grounds for, the current wave of newly established Stadtwerke. Further, it discusses the factors that were critical to the successful formation of new Stadtwerke in recent years. The results of our survey indicate that the establishment of municipal Stadtwerke is a suitable measure to implement the energy transition at the local level, whereby the concept of public value has a high level of importance for the local decision-makers. Collaboration and cooperation, as well as a resilience-oriented strategy, are important success factors for new Stadtwerke.
Belgien hat einen nationalen Energieeffizienz Aktionsplan (National Energy Efficiency Action Plan, NEEAP), der ein Energiesparziel von 27,5 TWh für das Jahr 2016 in Gebäuden, Verkehr und Kleingewerbe setzt. Rund 62 % der geplanten Energieeinsparungen sollen demnach in Flandern, 30 % in der Wallonie und 8 % in Brüssel-Hauptstadt erreicht werden. Zur Erreichung der Ziele soll jede Region eigene Anreize und Vorschriften in Bezug auf Energieeffizienz entwickeln. Das Energieleitbild ist somit in die Zielvorgaben der Wallonischen Region eingebunden.
Das langfristige Ziel der DG geht über diese Zielvorgabe hinaus und hat zum Kern die bilanziell "energieautarke DG". Dazu bedarf es einer auf Dauer angelegten und breit gefächerten Energieplanung mit konkreten und messbaren Teiletappen und -zielen. Die Erarbeitung eines regionalen Energieleitbildes stellt daher die Basis aller weiteren Schritte und Maßnahmen dar.
Vor diesem Hintergrund hat die DG das Wuppertal Institut im Rahmen einer öffentlichen Ausschreibung beauftragt, ein Energieleitbild für die Region zu erstellen. Dieses Energieleitbild beinhaltet folgende Elemente:
Bestandsaufnahme: Hier erfolgt eine Bewertung der energetischen Ist-Situation in der DG. Die Datenerhebung erfolgte in enger Kooperation mit dem Auftraggeber.
Potenzialanalyse: In der Potenzialanalyse werden die theoretischen Einsparpotenziale und die Möglichkeiten zur verstärkten Nutzung erneuerbarer Energieträger dargestellt.
Vision: Hier wird ein Bild einer positiven Entwicklung der DG anhand eines narrativen Szenarios entworfen.
Umsetzungs- und Fahrplan: Diese Pläne beinhalten Vorschläge für Maßnahmen und Aktionen zum Erreichen der Zielsetzungen, sowie mögliche Umsetzungszeiten.
Finanzierungsplan: Der Finanzierungsplan beinhaltet zahlreiche Vorschläge zur Finanzierung.