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- Working Paper (316) (remove)
REDD crediting vs. REDD funds : how avoided deforestation under the UNFCCC should be financed
(2010)
CDM-Reformen 2012
(2012)
CDM-Reform
(2011)
Politische und rechtliche Ansätze für inputorientierte Ressourcenziele in Europa und weltweit
(2013)
Klimaneutralität : Optionen für eine ambitionierte Weichenstellung und Umsetzung : Positionspapier
(2021)
Extern? : Weshalb und inwiefern moderne Gesellschaften Externalisierung brauchen und erzeugen
(2014)
Globales Ressourcenmanagement : Konfliktpotenziale und Grundzüge eines Global Governance-Systems
(2007)
Global resource management : conflict potential and characteristics of a global governance regime
(2007)
Qualifizierungsmodul RessourcenKultur : Materialien zur Kompetenzentwicklung für Praktiker/-innen
(2014)
Was ist der freiwillige Kohlenstoffmarkt - und welchen Beitrag leistet er für den Klimaschutz?
(2023)
Was ist gerecht? : Nutzungsrechte an natürlichen Ressourcen in der Klima- und Biodiversitätspolitik
(2004)
Paradepferd mit bleiernen Füßen : internationaler Klimaschutz und die Umsetzung in Deutschland
(2002)
The sectoral clean development mechanism : a contribution from a sustainable transport perspective
(2007)
Kernenergie : Rettung aus der drohenden Klimakatastrophe oder Hemmschuh für effektiven Klimaschutz?
(1996)
Stepping up waste prevention : challenges and opportunities for national waste prevention programmes
(2017)
In the past decades, risk management in the financial community has been dominated by data-intensive statistical methods which rely on short historical time series to estimate future risk. Many observers consider this approach as a contributor to the current financial crisis, as a long period of low volatility gave rise to an illusion of control from the perspectives of both regulators and the regulated. The crucial question is whether there is an alternative. There are voices which claim that there is no reliable way to detect bubbles, and that crashes can be modeled as exogenous "black swans". Others claim that "dragon kings", or crashes which result from endogenous dynamics, can be understood and therefore be predicted, at least in principle. The authors suggest that the concept of "Bayesian risk management" may efficiently mobilize the knowledge, comprehension, and experience of experts in order to understand what happens in financial markets.